摘要
作为疫情等风险因素诱发的脆弱群体密集返贫现象,规模性返贫在国内缺乏前瞻性研究。审视世纪疫情冲击下的全球规模性返贫态势及国际应对,既是预防风险“溢入”的需要,也有助于我们汲取国外教训、强化制度优势,做好规模性因疫返贫预警、阻断和长效治理。相比欧美国家“消极抗疫”产生的巨大生命健康损失及不平等后果,以及一些亚洲国家“防疫摇摆”导致失业返贫潮及人力资本长久损害,中国实施统筹疫情防控与民生保障的人民至上“动态清零”策略,短期付出一定经济代价,但避免了疫情失控对生命健康与脱贫成果的系统损害与持久影响。在新的发展阶段,中国应持续优化预防为重的动态清零策略,完善规模性因疫返贫预警、阻断与治理体系,拓展中国规模性返贫研究范式,为发展中国家应对疫情冲击及返贫挑战,提供防疫减贫中国智慧及国际公共产品。
As a phenomenon of intensive return to poverty of vulnerable groups induced by epidemic and other risk factors, there is a lack of prospective research on large-scale return to poverty in China. Reviewing the global large-scale return to poverty situation and international response under the impact of the epidemic in the 21 st century is not only the need to prevent risk “spillover”, but also help us learn from foreign lessons, strengthen institutional advantages, and do a good job in the early warning, blocking and long-term treatment of large-scale return to poverty due to epidemic diseases. Compared with the huge loss of life and health and the unequal consequences caused by the “passive anti epidemic” in European and American countries, as well as the wave of unemployment returning to poverty and the long-term damage to human capital caused by the “epidemic prevention swing” in some Asian countries, China has implemented people-centered “dynamic zeroing” strategy of coordinating epidemic prevention and people’s livelihood security, paying a certain economic cost in the short term, but avoiding the systematic damage and lasting impact of the uncontrolled epidemic on life and health and poverty eradication achievements. In the new stage of development, China should continue to optimize the dynamic zero clearing strategy focusing on prevention, improve the early warning, blocking and governance system for large-scale return to poverty due to epidemic diseases, expand the research paradigm of large-scale return to poverty in China, and provide developing countries with Chinese wisdom for epidemic prevention and poverty reduction and international public products to cope with the impact of epidemic diseases and the challenge of returning to poverty.
作者
贺立龙
张衔
HE Li-long;ZHANG Xian(School of Economics,Sichuan University,610064;School of Marxism,Sichuan University,610064)
出处
《上海经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第7期84-102,共19页
Shanghai Journal of Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目“风险冲击视角下规模性返贫的预警、阻断与长效治理研究”(批准号:21BJL060)
2021年四川省社科规划脱贫攻坚暨乡村振兴重大项目“凉山彝族地区防止规模性返贫的监测预警体系及熔断机制研究”(SC21ZDTX003)阶段性成果之一。
关键词
世纪疫情冲击
全球规模性返贫
脆弱性
动态清零
中国应对
Impact of Epidemic Situation in the 21st Century
Global Return to Poverty on a Large Scale
Vulnerability
Ddynamic Zero-covid Policy
China’s strategy
