摘要
高速铁路作为人们出行的重要交通方式,其安全性备受社会瞩目。基于多属性决策理论,从对高速铁路行车相关的设备、人员及行车组织方面存在的威胁进行分析,提出基于威胁分析的安全风险评估方法,并对威胁后果相对严重程度进行定量计算,找到风险相对较大的威胁因子,以便相关人员进行安全决策,从而达到降低高铁行车事故发生率,规避人力、财力、物力损失的目的。最后,通过算例进行分析和说明。
High-speed railway has become an important transportation method, and its safety has attracted much attention. Based on the theory of multiple attribute decision-making, this paper analyzes the threats induced by relevant equipment, personnel and traffic operation of high-speed railway, and puts forward the method of risk assessment. After calculating the threat severity, major risk factors are found to help with safety decision-making, thanks to which the incidence of highspeed traffic accidents is reduced, and casualties, finance and material losses are avoided. At last, an example is given to illustrate the above theory.
出处
《铁道运输与经济》
北大核心
2017年第1期71-76,共6页
Railway Transport and Economy
基金
江苏省高校品牌专业建设工程资助项目(500201503/001)
南京铁道职业技术学院青年科研基金项目(YQ150011)
关键词
高速铁路
多属性决策
威胁分析
风险评估
High-Speed Railway
Multiple Attribute Decision Making
Threat Analysis
Risk Assessment
