摘要
随着区域经济一体化和农业现代化发展,农业对外投资在农产品贸易中的作用日益突出。文章基于中国与RCEP国家2004—2019年农产品贸易数据,运用VAR模型进一步分析中国农业OFDI对RCEP成员国的农产品贸易冲击效应。研究认为,长期来看,中国农业对外直接投资会赋予中国与RCEP其他成员国农产品贸易持续的正向冲击,且不同成员国受到中国农业对外投资影响表现存在异质性;中国农业OFDI会促进RCEP经济体的农业合作与发展。因此,建议有实力的农业企业要积极“走出去”,同时也要根据贸易情况灵活调整对外投资战略,最大限度地实现RCEP经济体农产品贸易的持续增长。
With the development of regional economy integration and the agriculture modernization,the role of agricultural outward investment in agricultural product trade is becoming increasingly prominent.Based on the agricultural trade data between China and RCEP countries from 2004 to 2019,the VAR model was used to further analyze the impact of China’s agricultural OFDI on agricultural trade among RCEP member countries.The research suggestsd that in the long run,China’s outward foreign direct investment in agriculture would give China a sustained positive impact on agricultural trade with other RCEP member countries,and there was heterogeneity in the magnitude of the impact of China’s outward agricultural investment on different member countries;China’s agricultural OFDI would promote agricultural cooperation and development in RCEP economies.Therefore,it is recommended that powerful agricultural enterprises should actively“go global”and flexibly adjust the foreign investment strategies based on trade conditions to maximize the sustained growth of agricultural product trade in the RCEP economy.
作者
王晓艳
麦强盛
WANG Xiaoyan;MAI Qiangsheng(School of Accounting,Southwest Forestry University,Kunming650224,China)
出处
《现代农业》
2024年第5期47-54,共8页
Modern Agriculture
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(72363031)
云南省省院省校教育合作人文社会科学研究项目(SYSX202209)。
