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“一带一路”倡议促进了中国沿线农业对外投资吗?

Has the Belt and Road Initiative promoted China’s agricultural foreign investment along the routes?
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摘要 为探究“一带一路”倡议的提出对中国农业对外投资的影响及内在逻辑,运用双重差分法针对2006—2018年《境外投资企业(机构)备案结果公开名录》的中国农业对外投资项目数据实证检验了“一带一路”倡议的投资促进效应。结果表明:1)“一带一路”倡议的实施显著促进了中国农业对外投资的增长,“一带一路”沿线国家的农业投资项目数量较非沿线国家高出2.385个单位。2)“一带一路”倡议对于不同条件国家的农业对外投资促进效应存在差异,对于经济发展水平或农业发展水平较低国家的投资促进效应更显著,相较于未与中国签订“一带一路”合作文件的沿线国家,已与中国签订“一带一路”合作文件的沿线国家的投资促进效应更显著。3)“一带一路”倡议通过政策沟通、资金融通、贸易畅通和民心相通间接促进了中国农业对外投资的增长。因此,中国政府应持续推动与沿线国家的政策沟通,有针对性地根据不同经济体的发展条件推进阶段性合作,同时加强国际货币互换合作和文化交流互信。 In order to explore the impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on China's agricultural foreign investment and its internal logic,this study empirically examines the investment promotion effect of the Belt and Road Initiative by using the DID method on the data of China’s agricultural foreign investment projects in the Public List of Foreign Investment Enterprises(Institutions)Recorded Results from 2006 to 2018.The results show that:1)The implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative has significantly boosted the growth of China’s agricultural foreign investment,and the number of agricultural investment projects in countries along the Belt and Road is 2.385 units higher than in countries not along the Belt and Road.2)The Belt and Road Initiative has different promotion effects on agricultural foreign investment in countries with different conditions.The investment promotion effect is more significant for countries with lower levels of economic development or agricultural development.Compared with countries that have not signed the Belt and Road cooperation document with China,countries along the Belt and Road that have signed the Belt and Road cooperation documents with China have a more significant investment promotion effect.3)The Belt and Road Initiative has indirectly promoted the growth of China’s agricultural foreign investment through policy communication,financial integration,unimpeded trade and people-to-people bonds.Therefore,China government should continue to promote policy communication with countries along the Belt and Road,promote phased cooperation in a targeted manner based on the development conditions of different economies,and strengthen international currency swap cooperation and cultural exchanges and mutual trust at the same time.
作者 闫一凡 郑天月 李钰 韩一军 YAN Yifan;ZHENG Tianyue;LI Yu;HAN Yijun(College of Economics and Management/Center for Agricultural Market Studies,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China)
出处 《中国农业大学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第10期29-43,共15页 Journal of China Agricultural University
基金 国家社会科学基金重点项目(19AZD012)。
关键词 “一带一路”倡议 农业对外投资 “五通” 促进机制 the Belt and Road Initiative agricultural outbound investment five links promotion mechanism
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