摘要
鉴于水资源、经济、生态、社会间的关联性显著,城市群对推动区域发展具有重要作用,为了给推进黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展战略的实施提供参考,从水资源、经济、生态、社会4个维度构建评价指标体系,根据2011—2020年面板数据,采用熵权法、变异系数法、耦合协调度模型、核密度模型等,分析了沿黄7个城市群水资源-经济-生态-社会耦合协调状况,并基于引力模型探究了各城市群之间耦合协调关联强度。结果显示:(1)沿黄城市群水资源-经济-生态-社会耦合协调度整体呈上升趋势,但研究时段末耦合协调等级仍普遍较低,山东半岛城市群属初级协调、兰西城市群和宁夏沿黄城市群属濒临失调、其他城市群属勉强协调;(2)各城市群水资源-经济-生态-社会耦合协调度存在较大差异,呈现下游城市群>中游城市群>上游城市群的格局,且部分城市群呈现两极化或多极化态势;(3)沿黄城市群多数城市间耦合协调关联性较弱,只有少数城市间存在轻度及以上关联,跨城市群城市间存在关联的多为轻度关联、少数为高度关联;(4)山东半岛城市群耦合协调度相对较高但不足以带动黄河流域高质量发展,各城市群中心城市耦合协调度也相对较高但不足以带动沿黄城市群协调发展。有针对性地提出了各城市群根据自身发展优势错位发展、加强城市群之间的合作与联系、充分发挥山东半岛城市群的优良港口优势和中原城市群的“中继站”作用等建议。
Given the significant interconnections among water resources,economy,ecology,and society,urban agglomerations play a crucial role in driving regional development.In order to provide references for the implementation of strategies for ecological protection and high-qual-ity development in the Yellow River Basin,an evaluation indicator system was established across four dimensions of water resources,econo-my,ecology,and society.Utilizing panel data from 2011 to 2020,methods such as the entropy method,coefficient of variation,coupling co-ordination degree model,and kernel density model were employed to analyze the coupling and coordination status of water resources,econo-my,ecology,and society in seven urban agglomerations along the Yellow River.Furthermore,the gravitational model was used to explore the coupling coordination and interconnection strengths among these urban agglomerations.The findings reveal that a)the overall coupling and coordination degree among the urban agglomerations along the Yellow River is on an upward trend,yet,by the end of the study period,the level of coupling coordination generally remains low.The Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration is at a primary coordination level,the Lanxi urban agglomeration and the Ningxia along the Yellow River urban agglomeration are on the verge of disorder,and the other urban ag-glomerations are barely coordinated.b)There are significant differences in the coupling and coordination degrees among the urban agglomera-tions,presenting a pattern of downstream urban agglomerations>midstream urban agglomerations>upstream urban agglomerations,with some showing polarization or multipolarization tendencies.c)The majority of cities within the urban agglomerations along the Yellow River exhibit weak coupling and coordination connectivity,with only a few cities showing mild or above levels of coordination connectivity.The in-tercity connections across urban agglomerations are mostly of mild connectivity,with a few being highly connected.d)Although the Shandong Peninsul
作者
朱永明
蒋威远
ZHU Yongming;JIANG Weiyuan(School of Management,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450001,China)
出处
《人民黄河》
CAS
北大核心
2024年第6期14-19,42,共7页
Yellow River
基金
河南省重大公益性科技专项(201300311500)。
关键词
水资源
经济
生态
社会
耦合协调
高质量发展
沿黄城市群
water resources
economy
ecology
society
coupling and coordination
high-quality development
urban agglomerations along the Yellow River
