摘要
本文基于2012~2021年中国30个省(区、市)面板数据,从农业现代化、工业现代化及服务业现代化3个维度构建评价指标体系,以测度现代产业体系构建水平,并通过多重模型检验数字经济对现代产业体系构建的影响及传导路径。结果表明:数字经济可显著推动现代产业体系构建,在进行一系列稳健性检验后,该结论仍旧成立。调节效应检验表明,金融支持具有正向调节作用,能够放大数字经济对现代产业体系构建的促进效应。中介检验表明,在数字经济对现代产业体系构建的影响关系中,产业结构升级、技术创新及人力资本均发挥显著中介作用。进一步检验发现,数字经济对现代产业体系构建存在边际递增的非线性影响,且二者具有正向空间溢出效应。基于此,提出促进数据开放共享,带动数字技术创新;加快产业转型升级步伐,着力建设现代化产业体系;优化金融服务模式,提高金融支持水平的政策建议,为现代产业体系构建提供有益借鉴。
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021,this paper constructs an evaluation index system from three dimensions of agricultural modernization,industrial modernization and service industry modernization to measure the construction level of modern industrial system,and tests the influence and transmission path of digital economy on the construction of modern industrial system through multiple models.The results show that the digital economy can significantly promote the construction of modern industrial system.After a series of robustness tests,this conclusion is still valid.The adjustment effect test shows that financial support has a positive adjustment effect,which can amplify the promotion effect of digital economy on the construction of modern industrial system.The intermediary test shows that industrial structure upgrading,technological innovation and human capital all play a significant intermediary role in the influence of digital economy on the construction of modern industrial system.Further tests show that the digital economy has a marginally increasing nonlinear impact on the construction of the modern industrial system,and the two have a positive spatial spillover effect.Based on this,it is proposed to promote open data sharing and drive digital technology innovation;accelerate the pace of industrial transformation and upgrading,focus on building a modern industrial system;the policy suggestions on optimizing the financial service model and improving the level of financial support provide useful reference for the construction of modern industrial system.
作者
张晨
唐伟博
Zhang Chen;Tang Weibo(School of Economics,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China;School of Management and Economics,The Chinese University of Hong Kong,Shenzhen 518172,China)
出处
《工业技术经济》
北大核心
2023年第11期26-37,共12页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“数字经济对我国经济社会发展的影响效应测度与统计评价”(项目编号:19ZDA119)。
关键词
数字经济
现代产业体系构建
产业结构升级
技术创新
金融支持
人力资本
digital economy
construction of modern industrial system
the upgrading of industrial structure
technological innovation
finance support
human capital
