摘要
中韩两国长期以来保持着良好的贸易合作关系,以TI指数与ESI指数对现阶段中韩贸易形态进行测算研究,发现中韩双方相互贸易依赖程度较高,但韩国对于中国的TI指数更高,贸易依赖程度更强,中韩双方近年来贸易互补性有所下降,竞争性不断加强。通过随机前沿引力模型检验中韩贸易潜力,发现双边贸易潜力总体呈递增态势,2015年后贸易潜力上升幅度较大,其中初级产品贸易潜力最大,其次为劳动密集型产品,最后是资本密集型产品,且两国仍保留着一定的贸易扩展空间。因此,中韩两国应坚定经贸合作共识,利用标准更高、更全面的RCEP协定,提升贸易便利化水平,创新贸易合作方式。
China and South Korea have maintained good trade cooperation for a long time. The TI index and ESI index are used to measure and study the current trade pattern between China and South Korea. It is found that China and South Korea have a high degree of mutual trade dependence, but South Korea has a higher TI index and stronger trade dependence on China. In recent years, trade complementarity between China and South Korea has decreased and competition has been strengthened. The stochastic frontier gravity model is used to test the trade potential of China and South Korea, and it is found that the bilateral trade potential shows an overall increasing trend. After 2015, the trade potential has increased greatly, among which the trade potential of primary products is the largest, followed by labor-intensive products, and the last is capital-intensive products. Moreover, the two countries still retain a certain space for trade expansion. Therefore, China and the South Korea should strengthen the consensus on economic and trade cooperation, make use of the RCEP agreement with higher and more comprehensive standards to enhance trade facilitation and innovate ways of trade cooperation.
作者
冯晓玲
赵鑫
FENG Xiao-ling;ZHAO Xin(School of Shipping Economics and Management,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian,Liaoning 116026)
出处
《东北亚经济研究》
2022年第4期82-96,共15页
Northeast Asia Economic Research
基金
教育部后期资助项目:拜登政府对华贸易的“弹性制衡”及中国应对研究(21JHQ098)。
关键词
RCEP
中韩贸易
贸易潜力
随机前沿引力模型
RCEP
Trade between China and South Korea
Trade potential
Stochastic frontier gravity model
