摘要
利用随机前沿引力模型,研究中国与"一带一路"沿线主要国家的农产品贸易效率和贸易潜力,并深入探讨了影响农产品贸易效率的主要因素。研究表明:中国与沿线国家的农产品贸易效率自1995年以来不断提升,平均贸易效率为46%;中国同吉尔吉斯斯坦、马来西亚、新加坡、俄罗斯、巴基斯坦和越南等国的贸易效率较高,对尼泊尔、孟加拉国和老挝等国的农产品贸易面临着较多的阻力;与中国农产品贸易潜力较大的主要是属于东盟和南亚的国家,潜力较小的国家主要是中亚五国以及不丹和尼泊尔等。最后,为进一步提高与"一带一路"沿线国家的贸易效率,提出了相应建议。
Using the Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model,China＇s agricultural trade efficiency and trade potential with countries along the Belt and Road were estimated and the main determinants of the trade efficiency were analyzed. The results showed that： Agricultural trade efficiency has been increasing since 1995 between China and the countries along the Belt and Road,with an average trade efficiency of 46%; China＇s trade efficiency is greater with Kyrgyzstan,Malaysia,Singapore,Russia,Pakistan and Vietnam,and China is less efficient in India,Nepal,Bangladesh and Laos; Countries with greater trade potential of China＇s agricultural products are mainly in ASEAN and South Asia,with smaller agricultural trade potential of China are Central Asia,Bhutan and Nepal. In the end,some suggestions were proposed in order to further improve the agricultural trade efficiency of countries along Belt and Road.
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第7期78-84,共7页
On Economic Problems
基金
中国农业大学-塔里木大学对口支援项目"中国与中亚农业合作及新疆产业定位"(2014068)
关键词
随机前沿引力模型
“一带一路”
农产品
贸易效率
制度环境
Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model
the Belt and Road
agricultural products
trade efficiency
institutional environment
