摘要
法国总统马克龙自上任以来始终坚持“戴高乐—密特朗主义”的外交方针,积极调整对俄政策。在全球事务中,针对涉及俄罗斯的危机,法国在保持与西方阵营立场一致的同时也尽量将各方拉回多边机制。在区域层面,法国与俄罗斯进行选择性接触,避免直接冲撞。在双边关系上,法俄增进经贸关系,重建政治互信,加强社会、文化交流。全球秩序的深刻转型、欧美关系的日渐疏离、区域格局的微妙变化、法国对俄罗斯及法俄关系认知的变化,这些因素是马克龙政府调整对俄政策的动因。但是,俄乌关系、欧盟内部“挺俄”和“反俄”两股势力的较量、美国因素以及俄罗斯的回应将制约法俄关系的发展。法俄关系回暖有利于多极秩序的构建,中国乐见其成。同时,中国可在“一带一路”与欧盟互联互通计划、欧亚经济联盟对接的基础上发展三方合作,并在气候变化、国际公共卫生等领域践行多边主义,积极推进合作。
Since taking office,Macron has adhered to the principles of Gaullo-Mitterrandism and actively adjusted his Russia policy.In terms of global affairs,in response to crises involving Russia,France has been endeavoring to bring all parties back to the multilateral mechanism while maintaining its consistent position within the Western camp.Regionally,France is selectively engaged with Russia and tries to avoid direct conflicts.In terms of bilateral relations,France has strengthened economic and trade ties with Russia while rebuilding mutual political trust and promoting their cultural exchanges.Motivations for the Macron government to adjust its Russia policy mainly include the profound transition of the global order,the increasingly estranged relations between Europe and the United States,subtle changes in regional configuration,and to changes in France’s perceptions of Russia.Nevertheless,Russia-Ukraine relations,a divided EU,the U.S.factor,and Russia’s responses will restrict prospects of France-Russia relations.The France-Russia rapprochement is conducive to the establishment of a multipolar global order.Meanwhile,against the backdrop of coordination among China’s“Belt and Road”Initiative,the EU’s Euro-Asian connectivity strategy and Russia’s Eurasian Economic Union,China could develop tripartite cooperation,practising multilateralism in such fields as climate change and global public health.
出处
《国际展望》
CSSCI
2020年第6期108-126,150,151,共21页
Global Review
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“‘一带一路’与‘欧亚伙伴关系’对接中的中国定位与战略研究”(19JJD810001)的阶段性成果。
关键词
法俄关系
法国对俄政策
欧俄关系
三方合作
Macron administration
Russia policy
adjustment
EU-Russia relationship
tripartite cooperation
