摘要
外部冲击是指在旅游系统外部发生的事件,通常外部冲击会对旅游系统的某个部分或整个系统产生冲击,从而对旅游系统带来正面或者负面影响。自然灾害、恐怖主义活动、公共卫生事件、大型比赛或节事活动、国际关系变化、汇率变化等事件本身与旅游业并无直接关系,但会影响到旅游业发展的外部环境,此类事件被称为外部冲击。外部冲击有可能增加旅游需求促进旅游业的发展,但也有可能给旅游业带来发展危机。文本以新冠肺炎疫情为例探讨外部冲击下旅游业的演化机理和发展变革机理,以及以新冠肺炎疫情为例的公共卫生事件对旅游业各个参与方产生的影响,在此基础上提出旅游业变革的具体路径。
External shocks refer to the events that occur beyond the tourism system.Usually,external shocks will have an impact on one or several parts of the tourism system.External events,such as natural disasters,terrorism,public health events,mega races or festival events,international relations and exchange rate changes,which have no relations with tourism,may increase tourism demand or bring tourism industry into development crisis.Taking the COVID-19 epidemic as an example of external shocks,this paper discusses the evolution and transformation mechanisms of tourism industry,as well as the impact of public health events on all stakeholders in the tourism industry.On this basis,specific paths of tourism reform are proposed.
作者
夏杰长
毛丽娟
陈琳琳
XIA Jie-chang;MAO Li-juan;CHEN Lin-lin(National Academy of Economic Strategy,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences;University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 102488)
出处
《新疆师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第6期43-54,F0002,共13页
Journal of Xinjiang Normal University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
基金
中国社会科学院创新工程项目“‘十四五’时期服务业升级战略与重大政策研究”的阶段性成果。
关键词
外部冲击
新冠肺炎疫情
旅游业
演化
变革
External Shock
COVID-19
Tourism Industry
Evolution
Transformation
