摘要
新冠肺炎疫情对旅游业的影响已远远超过非典,国内旅游业恢复时间大体需要1年左右,国际旅游业的恢复时期还很难判断,但一场危机阻挡不住旅游业发展的步伐。当前很多观点片面夸大了旅游业的损失,疫情后的"报复性增长"也是伪概念。要重新认识旅游业的脆弱性,反思当前旅游统计问题及投资过重的方式,回到替代性发展、包容性发展的思路上,把如何促进旅游产业恢复活力的重点,放在提供更好的公共管理服务水平上。
The impact of COVID-19 pandemic is far-reaching, and it has surpassed that of the SARS-CoV outbreak in 2003. While Chinese domestic tourism is expected to fully recover in approximately a year, the future outlook of international tourism remains uncertain. For the forecast of the tourism industry post-pandemic, pessimistic predictions overstating economic losses incurred and overly optimistic projections expecting ambiguous ‘retaliatory growth’ should be avoided. Alternatively, it might be pragmatic to take a middle approach and reexamine many critical issues of the industry(e.g. over-investment, fragility of systems within tourism and statistical inaccuracies) and improve public governance as a potential breaking point for aiding tourism’s recovery.
作者
保继刚
Bao J.G.(Centre for Tourism Planning and Research,School of Tourism Management,Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou 510275,China)
出处
《全球变化数据学报（中英文）》
CSCD
2020年第1期11-15,11-15,共10页
Journal of Global Change Data & Discovery
