摘要
深入研究能源消费和经济增长之间的关系特征对促进能源合作具有积极意义。运用1990—2016年中亚五国面板数据和面板向量自回归模型,实证分析中亚国家经济增长和能源消费双向动态影响关系。研究发现:中亚地区GDP增长与电力消费在整体上存在相互促进的关系,而与石油消费呈现单向促进关系,天然气消费与GDP增长不存在显著的相互关系。从中亚区域整体这一关系特征出发,加强石油、天然气等传统能源终端产品合作和电力互联互通合作是未来提升“一带一路”中国中亚能源合作的重要路径。
The relationship characteristics between energy consumption and economic growth are of positive significance for promoting energy cooperation.In this paper,the panel data and panel vector autoregression model of five central Asian countries from 1990 to 2016 are used to empirically analyze the two-way dynamic relationship between economic growth and energy consumption in central Asian countries.It is found that the GDP growth in central Asia and electricity consumption as a whole have a mutually promoting relationship,while has a one-way promoting relationship with oil consumption,while natural gas consumption and GDP growth have no significant correlation.Based on the overall relationship characteristics in the central Asian region,strengthening the cooperation of oil,natural gas and other traditional energy terminal products and the cooperation on electric power connectivity are important ways to enhance the"One Belt and One Road"China-central Asian energy cooperation in the future.
作者
姜安印
刘博
Jiang Anyin;Liu Bo(Economic School,Lanzhou University,Gansu Lanzhou 730000,China)
出处
《河北经贸大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第4期80-88,共9页
Journal of Hebei University of Economics and Business
基金
国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“‘一带一路’倡议的共同化发展愿景研究”(19FGLB036)
中央高校基本科研项目“关于新常态下加快产业结构转型升级对策研究”(17LZUJBWZY052)。
关键词
“一带一路”
中亚
能源消费
经济增长
"One Belt and One Road"
central Asia
energy consumption
economic growth
