摘要
“一带一路”是顺应经济全球化和区域经济一体化的世纪战略,该战略的实施为中国在沿线国家的直接投资提供了便利契机。伴随中国在该地区投资的快速增长,探讨中国对沿线国家直接投资能否对国内产业结构升级产生正向作用具有重要意义。本文借鉴钱纳里标准结构模型,以“一带一路”沿线58个国家为样本,基于2003—2016年的时间序列数据,对中国在“一带一路”国家投资的产业结构升级效应进行了实证研究。结论显示:中国对“一带一路”沿线国家直接投资与中国产业结构变动值呈负相关,中国对沿线国家直接投资尚未显示出产业结构升级效应。
"the belt and road initiativen is a century strategy conforming to economic globalization and regional economic integration. The implementation of this strategy provides a convenient opportunity for Chinas direct investment in countries along the route. With the rapid growth of Chinas investment in the region, it is of great significance to explore whether Chinas direct investment in the countries along the line can have a positive effect on the upgrading of domestic industrial structure. This paper uses Chenery s standard structural model for reference and takes 58 countries along the "the belt and road” as samples. Based on the time series data from 2003 to 2016, this paper makes an empirical study on the upgrading effect of China s investment in "the belt and road" countries. The conclusion shows that there is a negative correlation between Chinas direct investment in the countries along the "the belt and road" and China's industrial structure changes. China's direct investment in the countries along the "the belt and road" has not yet to show the upgrading effect of industrial structure.
作者
任雪梅
陈汉林
Ren xuemei;Chen hanlin
出处
《经济问题探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第8期127-133,共7页
Inquiry Into Economic Issues
基金
2012年国家社会科学基金资助项目(12BJY024)
关键词
“一带一路”
对外直接投资
产业结构升级
"the belt and road"
foreign direct investment
upgrading of industrial structure
