摘要
近年来,沙特与伊朗在中东地区经常利用代理人战略开展竞争和博弈,具体表现为支持内战国家的代理人来改变战争进程与结果、扶植代理人进行权力竞争、利用代理人进行外交角力等。沙伊之间运用代理人进行博弈,既是两国的地缘政治对抗、教派纷争等结构性矛盾使然,也是由于代理方本身需借助外部力量实现政治与宗教目的。不过,受直接冲突与战争高成本及外部环境的约束,两国之间的博弈不会走向正面军事冲突。截至目前,沙伊的代理人战略加剧了中东政治生态的恶化,加快了地区阵营化、冷战化格局的演进,加深了中东国家政治的对抗性烈度。可以预见,施动方、代理方以及域内外大国关系的演绎将会对沙伊的代理人战略走向产生重大影响。
In recent years,Saudi Arabia and Iran have made full use of proxy strategy in their respective regional rivalry.The reasons for Saudi and Iran's proxy games include geopolitical differences,sectarian strife and structural contradictions between the two countries on the one hand,and the needs of proxy itself for external forces to achieve political and religious ambition on the other hand.Saudi and Iranian proxy strategy exacerbates the deterioration of political ecosystem in the Middle East,speeds up the shaping of the regional camps and the cold war pattern,and intensifies confrontation among regional powers.It is foreseeable that the relations between the activators,the proxy and the great powers within and outside the region will affect the proxy strategy.
作者
陈翔
熊燕华
CHEN Xiang;XIONG Yanhua(Research Center of China' Peripheral Security and Cooperation,Central China Normal University;College of Technology,Hubei Engineering University)
出处
《阿拉伯世界研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第1期16-28,118,共14页
Arab World Studies
关键词
沙特
伊朗
代理人战略
Saudi Arabia
Iran
Proxy Strategy
