摘要
以山东省经济数据为样本,解析产业结构与就业结构二者的耦合效应。运用结构偏离度与就业弹性系数分析产业结构对就业结构的内在机制,可以看出山东省产业结构的总体协调度改善明显,对就业的拉动作用增强;运用回归模型分析就业结构对产业结构的作用机理,可以发现20世纪80年代到90年代初期,劳动力增加对经济增长有直接推动作用,但在90年代中后期出现拐点,提高全要素生产率成为经济增长的新动力。基于山东省域资源禀赋、区域优势与产业体系,以人才、创新与产业"立体化"建设为核心,重塑经济增长新动能,实现产业与就业结构的协同发展。
Based on the economic data of Shandong Province,this paper analyzes the coupling effect between industrial structure and employment structure. Using structure deviation and employment elasticity coefficient to analyze the internal mechanism of industrial structure acting on employment structure,it could be found that the general coordination degree of industrial structure in Shandong Province has been improved obviously,and the promoting effect on employment has been enhanced. Using the correlation and regression model to analyze the mechanism of employment structure acting on the industrial structure,it could be found that the increase of labor force directly promoted economic growth from the 1980 s to the early 1990 s,but the turning point appeared in the mid-to-late1990 s,and the improvement of total factor productivity became the new driving force for economic growth. Based on Shandong's provincial resource endowment,regional advantages and industrial system,with the "three-dimensional"construction of talents,innovation and industry as the core,reframing new momentum for economic growth and realizing the coordinated development of industrial structure and employment structure would be achieved.
作者
夏建红
矫卫红
XIA Jian-hongl,;JIAO Wei-hong(School of International Education,Yantai University,Yantai 264005,China;School of Social Development and Public Policy,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,China)
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第10期65-71,共7页
On Economic Problems
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目"进城流动商贩问题的本质及其治理体系研究"(13CJY032)
山东省社会科学规划项目"新型城镇化的内涵及路径选择--基于山东省新型城镇化模式研究"(14CJJJ08)
关键词
产业结构
就业结构
耦合效应
产业“立体化”
industrial structure
employment structure
coupling effect
"three - dimensional" industry