摘要
文章基于健康消费视角,构建一个两部门世代交叠模型,从理论层面推导老龄化通过健康消费对于经济高质量发展的影响效应。采用2004—2018年我国30个省份的面板数据,分别从空间效应和门槛效应两个角度实证分析老龄化背景下健康消费对经济高质量发展影响的空间与门槛特征。研究表明:老龄化通过健康消费对经济高质量发展的影响具有空间相关性。人口老龄化和健康消费分别对邻近地区经济高质量发展具有极化效应;而老年抚养比与健康消费的交互项则对邻近地区的经济高质量发展具有不显著的扩散效应。老龄化的健康消费对经济增长的促进作用呈现非线性门槛特征。在第一门槛值之前,老龄化的健康消费对经济高质量发展的影响不显著,当跨过第二门槛值之后,老龄化的健康消费对于经济高质量发展具有显著促进作用。
Based on the healthiness consumption perspective,this paper constructs a two-sector generation overlap model,and deduces the effect of aging on the high-quality economic development through healthiness consumption from the theoretical level.The paper uses the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2004 to 2018 to empirically analyze the spatial and threshold characteristics of the impact of healthiness consumption on the high-quality economic development under the background of aging from the perspective of spatial and threshold effects respectively.The study provides the following findings:The impact of aging on the high-quality economic development through healthiness consumption is spatially correlated.Population aging and healthiness consumption have polarization effects on the high-quality economic development in the neighboring regions,while the interaction term between the old-age dependency ratio and healthiness consumption has no significant diffusion effect on the high-quality economic development in the neighboring regions.The promotion effect of healthiness consumption of aging on economic growth presents the non-linear threshold characteristic.Before the first threshold,the influence of the healthiness consumption of aging on the high-quality economic development is not significant,but when the second threshold is transcended,the healthiness consumption of aging has a significant promotion effect on the high-quality economic development.
作者
刘建国
钟先鹏
Liu Jianguo;Zhong Xianpeng(School of Economics,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730101,China)
出处
《统计与决策》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第5期65-70,共6页
Statistics & Decision
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目(20BRK003)
关键词
健康消费
经济高质量发展
世代交叠模型
空间效应
门槛效应
healthiness consumption
high-quality economic development
generation overlap model
spatial effect
threshold effect
