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创业板上市公司经济绩效及影响因素——基于贝叶斯模型平均法(BMA)的实证研究 被引量:8

The Economic Performance and Influencing Factors of Listed Firms in Chinese GEM Stock Market
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摘要 研究目标:探讨创业板上市公司经济绩效的影响因素。研究方法:基于2012~2014年创业板上市公司的面板数据,运用贝叶斯模型平均法进行实证分析。研究发现:当期及滞后一期R&D强度对经济绩效存在显著负向影响,而R&D交互作用对经济绩效具有显著正向影响;经营现金流状况、总资产周转率对经济绩效具有显著正向影响;当期广告强度只对权益报酬率具有较显著正向影响。研究创新:第一,选择商品经营、资产经营与资本经营等三个方面的经济绩效指标,分别从R&D创新、广告营销、营运管理等方面探讨经济绩效的影响因素,拓展了研究视角;第二,运用贝叶斯模型平均法研究经济绩效的影响因素,估计结果更加稳健可信,具有方法的新颖性和有效性。研究价值:本文结论对改善创业板公司的创新和经营策略具有较强的现实意义。 Research Objectives: The t)aper explores the factors influencing the economic perform ance of listed Chinese companies in GEM stuck market. Research Methods: "File paper makes an empirical analysis 1)y using the Bayesian model averaging method, based on the panel data of the GEM companies in 2012-2014. Research Findings: The empirical resuhs show that the current and lagged R&D intensity have significant negative impact on economic perform- ante, while the R&D interaction has a significant positive impact on it, and that operating cash flow and total asset turnover rate have significant positive impact on performance, but only the current advertising intensity has a significan! positive impact on the equity rate. Research Innovations: Firstly, the three indicators from commodity marketing, asset n-mnagement and capital operation are chosen to indicate the economic performance, and the affecting factors for economic performance are explored from R&D, advertising marketing, ot)eration management, etc, which expand the research perspective: Secondly, the re- search result is more robust and credible by using Bayesian model averaging method, and the method is novel and effective. Research Value: The conclusion has a strong practical signifi cance to improve the innovation and business strategy of the enterprises.
作者 柯忠义
出处 《数量经济技术经济研究》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2017年第1期146-160,F0003,共16页 Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金 广东省教育厅创新强校项目"技术模式影响产业自主创新能力与绩效的机理与差异研究"(918010002(2016ZX018))的资助
关键词 经济绩效R&D创新广告营销 营运管理 创业板上市公司 Economic Performance: R&D Innovation: Advertising Marketing: Operating Management: Firms in Chinese GEM Stock Market
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