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论我国信用评级变更的信息价值——兼论行政干预对信用评级的影响 被引量:2

On the Information Value of China's Credit Ratings Upgraded——Also on the Impact of Administrative Intervention upon Credit Ratings
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摘要 2009年下半年国家发改委对新发债券要求主体评级不低于AA-后,国内大量主体和债项评级上升,这种评级的普遍上扬,可能是因为债券发行者存在新的市场信息,也有可能是因为监管部门的"行政指导"导致的评级机构对被评级公司评级等级的虚增。针对此问题,构造信息显著性统计量,研究评级变更前后异常收益率的显著性;对市场模型加入虚拟变量,考察变更主体评级后发行新债异常收益率的显著性,并通过比较2009年前后影响主体信用评级主要因素的变更,检验行政干预对信用评级产生的影响。 In the 2nd half of 2009, the NDRC required that the newly issued bonds rating of the issuers could not beless than AA level, and thereafter, ratings for a large number of domestic issuers and debts were upgraded. The re-sults of generally upgraded ratings are probably because debt issuers have new market information, or might be a re-suh of the rating agenciesinflatingthe rating levels for the rated objects owing to regulators "administrative guid-ance". To cope with the new situation, by structuring statistic variables for significant information, study was madeon the significant abnormal yield rate before and after rating upgraded; by adding virtual variables to the marketmodels, investigation was made on the significant abnormal yield rate for the issuance of new debts after the issuerrating being upgraded; by comparing the changed main factors affecting the issuer credit rating before and after2009, test was made on the impact of administrative intervention upon credit rating.
作者 赵进文 潘越
出处 《征信》 北大核心 2014年第6期36-41,共6页 Credit Reference
关键词 信用评级 评级变更 信息价值 行政干预 市场模型 credit rating rating changed information value administrative intervention market model
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