摘要
朝鲜三次核试验后,日本不断强化对朝制裁,原本"政冷经冷"的日朝关系进一步滑向"政冷经滞",日朝民间交流也备受限制。然而,日本对绑架问题的重视、朝鲜对其作为日本殖民地历史的清算赔偿要求以及日朝关系的改善可使双方获得各自所需的外交筹码等三方面因素,成为日朝关系发展的动力。尽管受朝核问题、美朝关系等关键因素影响,日朝关系目前打破僵局、实现邦交正常化的时机仍不成熟,但已经出现突破迹象。只要朝鲜在绑架问题上的立场松动,日本对朝鲜解除制裁并进行经济支援,日朝关系就可能进一步改善,进而可在一定程度上缓和东北亚紧张局势。
After DPRK conducted three nuclear tests,Japan tightened sanctions against the country,pushing Japan-DPRK relations from 'cold political relations and economic ties'to 'cold political relations,stagnated economic ties',and the non- governmental exchange was also limited. However,DPRK and Japan enjoy common momentum to boost relations. Due to the impact of the DPRK nuclear issue and the U. S.- DPRK relations,the time is not ripe for normalization of Japan- DPRK relations. However,there are signs of breakthrough in the bilateral relations. As a result,if DPRK resolves the abduction issue while Japan lifts sanctions against DPRK and offers DPRK economic assistance,the Japan- DPRK relations might be further improved,which will reduce tensions in Northeast Asia.
出处
《现代国际关系》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第6期13-22,67-68,共10页
基金
刘鸣教授主持的上海日本研究交流中心课题"朝鲜第三次核试验后的日朝关系趋势"
国家社科基金重大项目"东北亚地缘政治环境的三元变化与我国的综合方略"(项目号:13&ZD050)部分成果
关键词
朝核
日朝关系
绑架问题
经济援助
DPRK,nuclear tests,Japan-DPRK relations,the abduction issue,economic assistance
