摘要
利用宁夏1985—2009年的年度统计数据,运用协整检验分析和格兰杰因果关系检验方法,对宁夏的对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究.结果表明,对外贸易与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的关系,但出口与经济增长、进口与经济增长之间仅存在单向因果关系,即进、出口增长是经济增长的原因,而经济增长并不是进、出口增长的原因.根据分析结果对于如何使宁夏外贸增长与经济增长相互促进提出了相应的政策建议.
Based on the data concerning Ningxia from 1985 to 2009,the measurement of co-integration test and Granger causality test is applied to examine the relationship between import ＆ export and GDP of Ningxia.It is proved that there is long-term equilibrium in terms of import,export and economic growth in Ningxia.However,there is only unilateralism causality between import and economy growth and between export and economic growth.That is to say,import and export growth are taken as the reason for economic growth,but economic growth cannot be taken as the reason for import and export growth.Based on analytical results,policy advice on how to realize the mutual promotion between foreign trade and economic development in Ningxia is proposed.
出处
《宁夏大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
北大核心
2010年第4期408-412,共5页
Journal of Ningxia University(Natural Science Edition)
关键词
宁夏
对外贸易
经济增长
协整检验
Ningxia
foreign trade
economic growth
co-integration test
