摘要
文章采用现代计量经济学的分析方法——协整分析和格兰杰因果关系检验,对广东省改革开放以来对外贸易与经济增长的相互关系进行实证分析,结论表明:广东省对外贸易与经济增长之间存在着相互促进的关系,其中,广东省GDP增长对进、出口增加的促进作用大于进、出口增加对GDP增长的促进作用。
This paper firstly reviews the previous researchers' results, and then examines empirically the relationship between international trade and economic growth in Guangdong province after the Opening Policy by Cointegration Test and Granger Test of causality, the analysis methods of modern Econometrics. It concludes that there is an inter-stimulative relationship between international trade and economic growth in Guangdong, especially, the effect of GDP's growth on the increase of international trade is bigger than the reverse.
出处
《国际经贸探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第12期24-27,共4页
International Economics and Trade Research
基金
国家社科基金项目(06BJY079)
全国优秀博士论文资助项目(200783)
广东省自科基金项目(06300385)
华南农业大学校长基金项目(K06193)
关键词
经济增长
对外贸易
协整分析
economic growth
international trade
Cointegration Test