摘要
本文运用Eviews5.1软件对1990～2007年的人均GNP和高等教育毛入学率两个时间序列进行单位根检验、格兰杰因果关系检验、自回归分布滞后模型等计量分析,得出结论:在我国,人均GNP和高等教育毛入学率之间并不存在明显的因果关系。并用自回归分布滞后模型对二者的关系进行了模拟。
This paper analyzes the time-series data from 1990 to 2007 on GNP per capita and gross enrollment rate of higher education,by the empirical methods of unit root test,granger causality test and auto-regressively distributed lag model.It shows that in China there has no obvious causal relationship,simulated by auto-regressively distributed lag model,between GNP per capita and gross enrollment rate of higher education.
基金
中央财经大学2009年度研究生科研创新基金资助项目(CJ2009001)
关键词
高等教育毛入学率
人均GNP
计量分析
gross enrollment rate of higher education
GNP per capita
economics method
