摘要
用人口加权方法对世界各国的高等教育入学率与人均GNP、农业产值比例关系、服务业产值比例关系、城市化人口比例关系进行统计回归,利用软件进行曲线估计,以此确定在众多回归模型中的最适合模型。利用数学模型,可以为我国的高等教育规划提供科学依据。
By the way of weighting population,regression analysis is used in this paper to investigate the relationship between the enrollment rate of higher education and GNP per capita,value of agricultural output,service industry output,and urbanized population proportion.Curve estimations are made with the statistic software SPASS.The conclusion of the research is that:the convexity curve of the relationship between higher education and GNP per capita is steep first and then smooth.That is to say,in the beginning period of economy,the scale of higher education will increase quickly with the economic development.But when the economy comes to a certain period,the increase of higher education scale will slow down,and then settle at a steady speed.
出处
《公共管理学报》
2004年第3期75-84,共10页
Journal of Public Management
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(79870024)
上海市自然科学基金资助项目(99ZH14028)
关键词
高等教育
经济水平
统计分析
农业产值
服务业产值
城市化人口
人均GNP
Enrollment of higher education
GNP per capita
Value of agricultural output
Value of service industry output
Population of urbanization
Statistical analysis
