摘要
碳足迹是目前国内外普遍认可的应用于应对气候变化解决定量评价碳排放强度的一种研究方法。本研究采用碳排放足迹的计算方法以及对数平均权重Divisia分解方法计算广东省近十年来的能源消费碳足迹,并对影响能源碳足迹的各因素进行了分析。结果表明,十年来,广东省的能源消费碳足迹呈持续增长的趋势,其中,煤炭足迹占主导地位;碳足迹生态压力不断上升,说明广东省能源消费对自然生态系统造成的压力越来越大。因素分解结果显示,经济增长效应对碳足迹的增长起最主要的推动作用,而能源效率是抑制广东省碳足迹增长的最重要因素,人口效应和能源结构效应对碳足迹的影响则不是很明显。
Carbon footprint is generally recognized as a method applied to cope with climate change at home and abroad,as well as a research method to solve quantitative evaluation of carbon emission intensity. This paper,based on the calculation of the carbon footprint and the logarithmic mean Divisia index method,calculates the carbon footprint of energy consumption over the past decade of Guangdong Province,and analyses the factor that influence the carbon footprint. This paper indicates that the carbon footprint of energy consumption is still on the increased trend over the past decade. The trend is dominated by coal footprint. Ecological pressure intensity of carbon footprint is still rising,increasing the pressure on natural ecosystems caused by energy consumption. The result of factor decomposition presents that the economic growth factor plays a leading role in promoting the growth of the carbon footprint,but the energy efficiency factor is the most important factor to inhibit the growth of carbon footprint. The effect of population and energy structure factor on the carbon footprint is not obvious.
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第S2期19-23,共5页
China Population,Resources and Environment
基金
广州市属高校科技计划项目(编号:10A004)
省部共建黄河中下游数字地理技术教育部重点实验室开放基金项目(编号:GTYR2011001)
广州市科技计划项目(编号:2012J4300111)
国家自然科学基金项目"珠江三角洲村塘景观构型及其养分栏蓄效应研究"(编号:31170445)
