摘要
基于2001—2015年湖南省地级城市数据,运用GIS地统工具,通过对全局Moran’s I指数和局域G指数的分析,基于区域间的空间自相关关系,利用相应的空间计量模型对城市人口的迁移机制进行了分析。重点从实现公共服务均衡的角度出发,分析了城市收入水平和公共财政支出对人口迁移的作用机制。研究发现:教育支出与社会保障和就业支出对人口净迁移率具有正向作用,一般公共服务支出、医疗卫生支出和农林水利事务支出对人口净迁移率具有负向影响,揭示出其主要由区域内存在的空间依赖性和异质性及外部因素具有更强吸引力造成;提出调整财政支出结构,优化产业升级,促进城镇化,实现公共服务的均质化以及城市和人口良性集聚。
Based on the data of prefecture-level city in Hunan Province from 2001 to 2012.use the tools of GIS to the system, taken from the Spatial correlation among regions to analysis the Moran index,and using the corresponding spatial econometric model to analyze migration mechanisms in Hunan Province. Focus on the perspective of achieve the equalization of public services, to searching the mechanism of local income levels and public expenditure on migration in Hunan Province. The study found that the expenditure of general public services and health care has a negative effect on migration, while the expenditure of education, social security and employment and forestry and water affairs have a positive impact on migration, reveals the main reason lead to the phenomenon is due to the existence of spatial dependence and heterogeneity in local regions, and the external factors more attractive. So, to achieve equalization of public services and city and population benign agglomeration the regions should to adjust the structure of financial expenditure, optimization of industrial upgrading, and promoting the urbanization construction.
作者
何文举
刘慧玲
颜建军
HE Wenju;LIU Huiling;YAN Jianjun(Center for Intelligence and Eco-City Studies/Hunan Urbanization Research Center,Hunan Business College,Changsha 410205,Hunan,China)
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2018年第12期50-59,共10页
Economic Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目(71671063)
湖南省自然科学基金项目(2018JJ2208)
关键词
人口迁移
财政支出
公共服务均等化
社会保障
就业
空间相关性
population migration
expenditure
the equalization of public services
social security
employment
spatial correlation
