摘要
物质资本的积累是产品生产的基础,而基础设施投资是物质资本积累的形成过程,其建设与完善不仅是一个地区经济发展硬实力的体现,还是加速产品生产、运输与流通,进而提高居民终端消费水平的保障。本文使用2007-2022年中国省际面板数据,从不同视角定量考察基础设施投资对地区消费的影响。研究结果表明:基础设施投资显著提高了地区总体消费水平,且由于时滞的存在,当期基础设施投资对未来两期内的地区消费具有显著的促进作用;不同区域间基础设施投资对消费的影响存在差异,中部和西部地区基础设施投资对消费的促进作用较强,东部地区相对较弱;最后,空间效应分析发现基础设施投资不仅对当地消费有显著的促进作用,对邻接地区的消费也具有显著的促进作用,但对邻接地区消费的促进作用要弱于对当地消费的促进作用。
The material capital accumulation is the foundation of product production,and the infrastructure investment is the formation process of material capital accumulation.Its construction and improvement are not only the embodiments of hard power of a region’s economic development,but also the guarantees of accelerating the production,transportation and circulation of products and improving the terminal consumption level of residents.By using the inter-provincial panel data from 2007-2022 in China,this paper quantitatively investigates the impact of infrastructure investment on the regional consumption from different perspectives.The research results show that the infrastructure investment has significantly raised the regional consumption level.Moreover,due to the time delay,the current infrastructure investment has a significant role in promoting the regional consumption in the next two periods.In addition,the impact of infrastructure investment on the consumption varies among different regions.Especially,the infrastructure investment in the central and west regions has a strong role in promoting the regional consumption;however,the promoting role in the eastern region is relatively weak.Finally,this spatial effect analysis finds that the infrastructure investment not only significantly promotes the consumption of local region,but also significantly promotes the consumption in the adjacent regions;however,the promoting role in the adjacent regions is weaker than that of local region.
作者
赵云鹏
张滨
ZHAO Yunpeng;ZHANG Bin(School of Business,Hebei Normal University,Shijiazhuang,Hebei 050024)
出处
《管理现代化》
北大核心
2024年第4期36-45,共10页
Modernization of Management
基金
河北省自然科学基金“需求不确定下社会资本参与交通项目的需求量补贴机制研究”(G2022205001)
河北省高等学校人文社会科学研究项目“农村居民收入状况调查与增收举措研究”(SQ2023154)
河北师范大学人文社会科学校内科研基金计划项目“城乡二元基础设施投资对区域内贸易的影响研究”(S21XB005)
河北师范大学博士基金项目“交通PPP项目需求量与排他性保证合同设计”(L2021B40)。
关键词
基础设施投资
地区消费
分位数回归
空间计量
Infrastructure investment
Regional consumption
Quantile regression
Spatial econometrics
