摘要
就供给配套及营销市场的来源差异而言,国内循环是整个生产流程在主权国家内部开展并完成的经济系统,而国际循环是国内生产流程借助了国外原材料、国外生产制造或国外消费市场开展并完成的经济系统。文章采用投入产出模型构建国内国际双循环的理论分析框架,揭示中国国内国际双循环的现状与特征,以及国内国际双循环间的互动关系及其机理。研究发现:(1)基于国内配套能力及国内市场空间,中国经济发展已呈现出以国内循环为主的显著特征。(2)依托国内供应体系的一般贸易出口是中国参与国际循环的主要模式,随后为"两头在外"的加工贸易模式及利用国外配套的一般贸易进口模式。(3)外资企业尤其是成本导向型外资企业的进入很大程度上不利于国内市场网络的构建。(4)国内循环尤其是国内配套能力的增强显著促进了增值水平更高的一般贸易出口,从而有利于推动中国开放型经济转型升级。因此要实现"以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局",需要在持续增强国内生产配套能力和挖掘国内超大规模市场优势的基础上,通过以"外"促"内"、以"内"提"外",推动"内""外"协调并举。
Facing the current anti-globalization trend of rising protectionism,sluggish international trade and investment,as well as the impact of the new pandemic on the global industrial chain and supply chain,the CPC Central Committee duly put forward the strategic plan of"accelerating the formation of a new development pattern featuring domestic circulation as the main body and mutually reinforcing the dual circulations of domestic and international economy".What is the connotation of domestic circulation,and how to measure it?What is the development trend of the dual circulations of domestic and international economy?How do the dual circulations of domestic and international economy affect each other,and what are the problems?How should we further build a new development pattern?All these problems are worth considering.This paper clarifies the connotation and boundary of domestic circulation and international circulation from the theoretical level,constructs the measurement method of dual circulations by using the input-output model,and thus constructs the theoretical analysis framework of dual circulations.In this way,we can study the current situation,characteristics,interaction and mechanism of China’s dual circulations.It comes to the following conclusions:Firstly,based on domestic supporting capacity and domestic market space,China’s economic development has shown a significant feature of domestic circulation and the overall level is higher than that of most emerging economies.Secondly,the general trade export relying on the domestic supply system is the main mode for China to participate in international circulation,followed by the processing trade mode of"both ends outside"and the general trade import mode using foreign supporting facilities.Thirdly,the entry of foreign-owned enterprises,especially cost-oriented foreign-owned enterprises greatly hinders the construction of domestic market network.Fourthly,the enhancement of domestic circulation,especially domestic supporting capacity,has significantly promo
作者
黎峰
Li Feng(Institute of World Economy,Jiangsu Academy of Social Sciences,Nanjing 210004,China)
出处
《财经研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第4期4-18,共15页
Journal of Finance and Economics
基金
江苏社科英才科研项目(2019A05)
关键词
国内循环
国际循环
国内循环强度
国际循环强度
domestic circulation
international circulation
intensity of domestic circulation
intensity of international circulation
