摘要
在教育现代化和基本公共服务均等化背景下,教育经费支出对新发展格局的时空影响和作用机理尚不明朗。基于2004年、2007年、2011年和2014年中国各省(自治区、直辖市)和全球140个国家与地区嵌套的多尺度多区域投入产出表,本文估计了2004~2020年教育经费支出对国内大循环和国际循环的驱动作用,并分析其影响路径和经济效应异质性。研究表明,教育经费支出拉动“双循环”产出激增,数额上以国内大循环为主;化学产品等与教育不直接相关的部门在产业循环中起到了关键作用;区域贸易以华东地区为核心辐射全国和世界各地;教育经费支出增加1%,可拉动我国GDP增长约0.045%,此结论存在时空异质性。本文建议继续适当提升教育经费投入,保障产业循环重点部门间贸易流畅,完善省际帮扶制度和省内经费分配制度。
In the context of education modernization and basic public services equalization,the impact and mechanism of education funds expenditure on the new development paradigm are still unclear.Based on the nested multi-scale and multi-region input-output tables of China’s provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities)with 140 countries and regions worldwide in 2004,2007,2011and 2014,this paper estimates the driving role of government’s education funds expenditure on domestic and international economic cycles from 2004 to 2020.It also analyzes the impact paths and heterogeneity of economic effects.The research indicates that education funds expenditure has driven a significant increase in output in the dual circulation especially in the domestic economic cycle.Sectors unrelated to education,such as chemical products,play a crucial role in industrial chains;regional trade radiates across the country and the world,with East China as the core;a 1%increase in education funds expenditure can drive approximately 0.045%GDP growth in China,which exhibits heterogeneity in time and space.The paper recommends continuing to appropriately increase education funds,ensuring smooth trade among key sectors in industrial chains,and developing inter-provincial assistance and intra-provincial fund allocation policies.
作者
欧阳乾弘
冯家豪
Ouyang Qianhong;Feng Jiahao(Institute of National Accounts,Beijing Normal University Beijing 100875)
出处
《经济统计学（季刊）》
2024年第1期114-154,共41页
China Economic Statistics Quarterly
关键词
教育经费支出
经济效应
多尺度多区域投入产出表
弹性系数
Education Funds Expenditure
Economic Effect
Multi-scale Multi-region Input-output Table
Elastic Coefficient
