摘要
要低碳城市建设是新时代我国推进以人为核心的新型城镇化的重要举措。在阐释理论机制的基础上,利用20032019年284个地级市的现实证据,构建多期双重差分模型实证检验低碳城市建设对人口流动的具体影响。研究结果显示:低碳城市建设总体上产生了显著的人口吸引效应,该结论经过多维度的检验后依然稳健;异质性分析上,低碳城市建设在沿海城市、较年轻型城市和非资源型城市中产生的人口吸引作用更为突出;作用机制检验结果表明,污染减排效应和就业替代效应是低碳城市建设吸引人口流入的重要实现路径,污染减排效应与人口流动呈现倒N形关系,就业替代效应与人口流动呈U形关系。从低碳城市试点政策入手评估低碳城市建设产生的人口吸引效应,为进一步探索低碳城市建设方略提供了有益参考。
Low-carbon city construction is an important initiative to promote human-centered new urbanization in China in the new era.On the basis of explaining the theoretical mechanism,this paper constructs a multi-period double-difference model to empirically test the specific impact of low-carbon city construction on population mobility,using real-world evidence of China's 284 prefectural-level cities in the period 2003-2019.The results of the study show that:low-carbon city construction in general produces a significant population attraction effect,and the conclusion remains robust after the multi-dimensional test;on the analysis of heterogeneity,the population attraction effect produced by low-carbon city construction is more prominent in coastal cities,lighter and non-resource cities;the results of the test of the mechanism of action show that the pollution abatement effect and the employment substitution effect are the important realization paths of the population inflow attracted by the construction of low-carbon cities,and the pollution abatement effect and the employment substitution effect are the important realization paths of the population inflow attracted by the construction of low-carbon cities.The results of the mechanism test show that the pollution reduction effect and employment substitution effect are important realization paths of low-carbon city construction to attract population inflow,and the pollution reduction effect has an inverted N-shape relationship with population flow,the employment substitution effect has a U-shape relationship with population flow;this study evaluates the population attraction effect generated by low-carbon city construction from the pilot low-carbon city policy,which provides a useful reference to further explore the construction strategy of low-carbon cities.
作者
何雄浪
李楠新
HE Xiong-lang;LI Nan-xin(Southwestern Minzu University,Chengdu 610225,China)
出处
《城市与环境研究》
CSSCI
2024年第1期79-98,共20页
Urban and Environmental Studies
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“环境约束下长江经济带城市群产业联动高质量发展研究”(批准号:21BJL045)
西南民族大学中央高校项目“环境规制下民族地区经济高质量发展研究”(批准号:2023SYJSCX03BS)。
关键词
同人口流动
低碳城市建设
低碳城市试点工作
多期双重差分模型
population mobility
low carbon city construction
low carbon city pilot work
multiperiod double difference mode
