摘要
中国与海合会国家贸易依赖程度不断加深,但呈现明显的不对称性:海合会国家对中国初级产品市场依赖度最高,贸易依赖较脆弱。从分析来看,石油价格的上升对中国出口没有显著的影响;人民币汇率的上升促进了中国从海合会国家进口商品,同时也削弱了中国出口产品的竞争力;中国加入WTO以及共建“一带一路”对双边贸易具有显著的正向影响;政府效率的提高对于双边贸易具有显著的促进作用。因此促进中海贸易相互依赖,实现贸易多元化发展,推动石油人民币结算,降低汇率波动负面影响等举措至关重要。
The degree of trade dependence between China and the GCC has been deepening,but shows obvious asymmetry:the GCC countries'trade dependence on China is relatively fragile,with the highest dependence on China's primary product market.Through further analysis,it has been found that the rise in oil prices has no noticeable effect on China's exports,while the rise of the RMB exchange rate that promotes China's import of goods from GCC countries,in turn,weakens China's competitiveness in its export products;China's accession to the World Trade Organization and the joint construction of"the Belt and Road"have a significant positive impact on bilateral trade;The improvement of government efficiency has a remarkable promoting effect on bilateral trade.Therefore,measures such as promoting trade interdependence between China and the GCC continues,achieving diversified trade development,promoting RMB settlement of petroleum,and reducing the negative impact of exchange rate fluctuations are of great importance.
作者
沈晨
陈志恒
Shen Chen;Chen Zhiheng
出处
《河南大学学报（社会科学版）》
北大核心
2024年第2期28-33,153,共7页
Journal of Henan University(Social Sciences）
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“中日第三方市场合作的挑战与对策研究”(19BGJ050)阶段性成果
教育部基地重大项目“国际秩序大变革背景下的中国东北亚区域合作战略研究”(22JJD790095)阶段性成果。
