摘要
移民问题是水利水电项目中的关键问题,关系到社会稳定与乡村振兴。运用地理探测器,因子分析法和耦合协调度模型对水库移民农地转入意愿与安置区农户农地转出意愿影响因素及其耦合协调关系进行研究。研究结果表明:(1)安置点社区融入状况,转入农地的距离,种植业等技能培训,农地价值,家庭农业劳动力人数,非农就业机会对移民农地转入意愿起着主要影响作用;非农就业水平,对土地权益受损的担忧程度,是否有闲置土地,非农就业机会,对土地流转政策了解程度,土地流转收益预期对安置区农户农地转出意愿起着主要的影响作用。(2)各影响因子之间存在两两交互关系,其中任意两因子交互作用后因子解释力均明显增强。转入农地的距离与安置区融入情况的交互作用对移民农地转入意愿的影响力最大;农地细碎化程度,是否有闲置土地,非农就业机会这3个因子与对土地权益受损担忧程度的交互作用对安置区居民农地转出意愿的影响力最大,家庭人均耕地面积安置区居民农地转出意愿具有隐形作用。(3)移民农地转入意愿与安置区农户农地转出意愿存在强关联性,二者相互影响,相互促进,并处于农地转入意愿超前的基本协调阶段。
The migration issue is a key issue in water conservancy and hydropower projects,which is related to social stability and rural revitalization.In this paper,the factors influencing the willingness of reservoir migrants to transfer in farmland and the willingness of farmers in resettlement areas to transfer out of farmland and their coupling coordination relationship are studied by using geographic detectors,factor analysis method and coupling coordination degree model.The results show that①community integration status in resettlement sites,distance to farmland,skills training in farming and other skills,farmland value,number of agricultural laborers in households,and non-agricultural employment opportunities play a major role in influencing migrants’willingness to transfer in farmland;non-agricultural employment level,degree of concern about damage to land rights and interests,availability of idle land,non-agricultural employment opportunities,knowledge of land transfer policies,and expection for income from land transfer play a major influence on the willingness of farmers in the resettlement area to transfer their farmland.②There is a two-by-two interaction relationship between the influencing factors,in which the explanatory power of the factors is significantly enhanced after any two factors interact.The interaction between the distance to farmland and the integration situation in the resettlement area has the greatest influence on the migrants'willingness to transfer to farmland;the interaction between the degree of fragmentation of farmland,whether there is idle land,and non-agricultural employment opportunities are related to the impact on land rights and interests,has the greatest influence on the willingness of residents in the resettlement area to transfer out of farmland,and the per capita family cultivated land area of the resettlement area residents’willingness to transfer out of farmland has a stealthy role.③There is a strong correlation between the migrants’willingness to transfer in far
作者
陈绍军
余丹阳
雷鸣
孙杰
汪馨
CHEN Shao-jun;YU Dan-yang;LEI Ming;SUN Jie;WANG Xin(School of Public Administration,Hohai University,Nanjing 211100,Jiangsu Province,China;Lianyungang Natural Resources and Planning Bureau,Development Zone Branch,Lianyungang 222069,Jiangsu Province,China;Zhejiang Design Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power,Hangzhou 310002,Zhejiang Province,China)
出处
《中国农村水利水电》
北大核心
2024年第3期198-205,共8页
China Rural Water and Hydropower
基金
国家社科基金重大项目“跨县搬迁社区治理与后期扶持研究”(21&ZD183)。
关键词
地理探测器
耦合协调度模型
水库移民
农地流转意愿
影响因素
耦合协调关系
geo-detector
coupling coordination model
reservoir migrants
willingness to transfer farmland
influencing factors
coupling coordination relationship
