摘要
在区域协调发展战略背景下,国家中心城市带动城市群发展成效如何是值得深入探究的问题。通过选用中国289个地级城市1995至2020年的数据样本,采用合成控制法分别测度第一批国家中心城市带动其所在城市群发展的成效,并采用安慰剂法和置换法分别检验结果的有效性和稳健性。以此为基础,进一步剖析并检验了国家中心城市带动城市群发展的作用机制。研究结果表明:国家中心城市能够有效带动城市群整体发展,但不同国家中心城市带动除其自身外的城市群区域发展在效果大小、响应时间等方面均存在差异。作用机制方面,整体上国家中心城市能够通过网络关联机制、要素流动机制或市场包容机制带动城市群发展。但就不同城市群而言,三种作用机制在不同的国家中心城市带动其所在城市群发展中各有所长。研究结论对于更好地推动区域协调发展和优势互补高质量发展的区域经济布局具有一定的理论和现实意义。
In the context of regional coordinated development strategy,the effectiveness of national central cities in driving the development of urban agglomerations is a question worthy of in-depth exploration.By selecting data samples from 289 prefecture level cities in China from 1995 to 2020,a composite control method was used to measure the effectiveness of the first batch of national central cities in driving the development of their urban clusters.The effectiveness and robustness of the results were tested using the placebo method and the replacement method,respectively.Based on this,the mechanism by which national central cities drive the development of urban agglomerations was further analyzed and tested.The research results indicate that national central cities can effectively drive the overall development of urban agglomerations,but there are differences in the effectiveness,response time,and other aspects of different national central cities driving the regional development of urban agglomerations except for themselves.In terms of mechanism,overall,national central cities can drive the development of urban agglomerations through network correlation mechanisms,factor flow mechanisms,or market inclusion mechanisms.However,in terms of different urban agglomerations,the three mechanisms of action each have their own strengths in driving the development of their respective urban agglomerations in different national central cities.The research conclusion has certain theoretical and practical significance for better promoting regional coordinated development and high-quality development with complementary advantages in regional economic layout.
出处
《价格理论与实践》
北大核心
2023年第5期19-25,117,共8页
Price:Theory & Practice
基金
国家社会科学基金“迈向现代化的城乡高质量发展研究”(项目编号:21STA017)
广西哲学社会科学规划研究课题重点项目“广西实现共同富裕的包容性增长机制与路径研究”(22AJY001)
中国社会科学院生态文明研究所课题:绿色智慧城乡建设路径研究(课题编号:STWM-ZS-2023-007)
苏州大学新型城镇化与社会治理协同创新中心支持。
关键词
国家中心城市
城市群发展
合成控制法
成效与机制
national central city
urban agglomeration development
synthetic control method
effectiveness and mechanism
