摘要
在城市空间结构高级形态——城市群的框架内,基于2000—2012年市级面板数据,研究中心城市发展对外围城市经济增长的溢出或极化效应,结果发现:(1)针对十大城市群136个城市的分析证实,中心城市发展对外围城市的经济增长呈现出正向溢出效应;(2)针对不同城市群的分类分析发现,中心城市对外围地区的影响会出现U形关系,如京津冀城市群中心城市北京的发展在2007年之前抑制了外围城市的经济增长,而2007年之后转为正向溢出效应;(3)城市群内部结构的异质性也会带来不同的结果,山东半岛城市群济南、青岛的双中心结构对外围城市的共同影响较单个城市更为显著。此外,研究结果还证实以受教育水平衡量的人力资本对以熟练劳动力为主的低端制造业地区的经济发展影响较低,政府规模对市场投资相对不足的中西部地区具有积极影响。
Recently,the strategy of spatial development in China has become more and more important.An increasing number of researches focus on the urban economic growth and the coordinated development of regions.Urban agglomeration,as an advanced spatial pattern of urban development,breaks through the barriers of administrative divisions and organically establishes the connection of different cities in the same region.Therefore,since the beginning of the new century,the progress of urban agglomeration becomes the most important content of the regional development strategy in China.There are 10 urban agglomerations in China.Every agglomeration has one or two central cities which have various dominant functions and always play apivotal role.It is an important measurement of the progress of urban agglomeration toidentify the influences from the central city to peripheral cities,as well as to provide an important theoretical and empirical evidence to promote the urban development and regional economic integration.The main contribution of this paper is to make a significant supplement of the empirical researches on the urban and regional economics in China,and provide a new perspective for the analysis of the development progress of urban agglomeration.Based on the theoretical framework of the New Economic Geography（NEG）and the New Growth Theory,this paper gives a theoretical model about the economic development level of an area which is influenced by other areas surrounding it.In the empirical part,this paper uses the municipal panel data of the year 2000-2012,and constructs a dynamic panel model to estimate the influences from the development of central city to the economic growth of peripheral cities,and uses the system GMM method to avoid the endogenous and simultaneous problems in econometric strategy.Our findings are as follows：（1）The central city shows a positive spillover effect on the economic growth of peripheral cities according to the analysis of 136 cities of the 10 urban agglomerations in China;（2）It
出处
《浙江大学学报（人文社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第5期170-181,共12页
Journal of Zhejiang University:Humanities and Social Sciences
关键词
城市群
中心城市
外围城市
溢出效应
系统GMM
经济增长
urban agglomeration
central city
peripheral city
spillover effect
system GMM
economic growth
