摘要
在世界经济复苏乏力的背景下,中国向亚欧非国家发出了共建"一带一路",推进基础设施联通的倡议。文章利用1991~2016年"一带一路"沿线国家经验数据,采用静态和动态计量经济学方法,定量分析交通基础设施建设的经济增长效应。研究发现,交通基础设施与经济增长呈现显著的"倒U型"关系,交通基础设施条件的改善和交通基础设施投资的增加均能显著促进"一带一路"沿线国家的经济增长,但这种促进效应的大小与各国经济发展水平和基础设施条件有关。经济越落后、交通基础设施质量越差的国家,交通基础设施改善对经济增长的促进作用越大。
Under the background of the sluggish recovery of the world economy,China has launched"The Belt and Road"initiative to promote infrastructure connectivity to Asian and European countries.This paper uses static and dynamic econometric methods to quantitatively analyze the economic growth effect of traffic infrastructure construction,based on the panel data of"The Belt and Road"countries from 1991 to 2016.We find that the traffic infrastructure facilities and economic growth has significantly inverted"U"shaped relationship.Besides,improving the condition and increasing the investment of traffic infrastructure can significantly promote"The Belt and Road"countries'economic growth,but the impact of the promoting effect is related to national economic development level and infrastructure conditions.And the improvement of infrastructure will have more impact on economic growth when the country has lower per capita GDP and poorer quality of infrastructure.
出处
《世界经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第3期56-68,共13页
World Economy Studies
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究基地重大项目"长江三角洲全面建设小康社会中的开放发展研究"(项目批准号:16JJD79025)
国家社会科学基金一般项目"‘一带一路’战略下我国口岸流通功能转型升级与拓展研究"(项目批准号:16BJY134)
"逆全球化背景下沿‘一带一路’重塑全球价值链体系研究"(项目批准号:17BJY228)
