摘要
[目的]广东省海上风电即将迎来飞速发展,然而,财政补贴滞后及电价的不确定性将给海上风电项目经济效益带来影响。[方法]选取了广东省4个海上风电典型项目,分别测算补贴滞后1年支付、滞后2年支付、滞后3年支付及电价降低对项目财务内部收益率的影响。[结果]测算表明,财政补贴滞后及电价对项目的经济带来较大影响。[结论]建议海上风电项目在前期决策阶段需增加补贴滞后及电价不确定性等敏感因素的分析。
[Introduction]Rapid development of offshore wind power is around the corner in Guangdong Province.However,the lag of financial subsidies and uncertainty of electricity prices will affect the economic benefits of offshore wind power projects.[Method]Four typical offshore wind power projects in Guangdong Province were selected to calculate the impact of subsidy payment lag by one year,two years and three years on the financial internal rate of return(FIRR)of the projects.[Result]The calculation result shows that the payment lag of financial subsidies and electricity price have a great impact on the economy of the projects.[Conclusion]It is suggested that the analysis of sensitive factors such as subsidy payment lag and electricity price uncertainty should be additionally considered in the early decision-making stage of offshore wind power projects.
作者
杨小甜
黄智军
YANG Xiaotian;HUANG Zhijun(China Energy Engineering Group Guangdong Electric Power Design Institute Co.,Ltd.,Guangzhou 510663,Guangdong,China;Guangzhou Xinyuan Enterprise Management Co.,Ltd.,Guangzhou 510080,Guangdong,China)
出处
《南方能源建设》
2023年第S01期47-50,共4页
Southern Energy Construction
关键词
海上风电
补贴滞后
电价降低
收益率
经济效益
offshore wind power
subsidy payment lag
electricity price reduction
rate of return
economic benefits