摘要
梳理江西省工业发展及用水现状,测算了规划年各设区市工业用水需求,根据“四水四定”原则提出总量控制红线约束下不同节水水平江西省规划水平年工业发展规模初步方案。高、中、低用水效率方案下江西省2025年和2030年工业需水量分别为59.2~61.8亿m^(3)和64.8~70.1亿m^(3),缺水量分别达到4.81~7.43亿m^(3)和4.08~9.42亿m^(3);红线约束下2025年和2030年工业增加值分别为11839.5~12363.3亿元和15586.7~16873.5亿元,与常规预测值相比分别减少了1092~1615.7亿元和1132.7~2419.5亿元。用水总量控制红线一定程度上制约了江西省工业经济的快速发展,为此提出了水资源刚性约束下未来江西省工业发展相关措施和建议。
By analyzing the current situation of industrial development and water use in Jiangxi province,and calculating the industrial water demand of each district and city in the planning year,this paper puts forward a preliminary scheme for the industrial development scale of Jiangxi province in the planning level year constrained by the red line of the total water consumption and different water conservation levels according to the principle of"four water-based principles".Under the high,medium and low water efficiency schemes,the industrial water demand of Jiangxi province in 2025 and 2030 will be 5.92~6.18 billion m^(3)and 6.48~7.01 billion m^(3)respectively,and the water shortage will reach 481~743 million m^(3)and 408~942 million m^(3)respectively;Under the constraint of the red line,the industrial added value in 2025 and 2030 will be 1183.95~1236.33 billion CNY and 1558.67~1687.35 billion CNY respectively,which will decrease by 109.2~161.57 billion CNY and 113.27~241.95 billion CNY respectively compared with the conventional forecast value.The red line of total water consumption has restricted the rapid development of Jiangxi's industrial economy to a certain extent,therefore,the paper puts forward relevant measures and suggestions for the future industrial development of Jiangxi province under the rigid constraint of water resources.
作者
胡久伟
温天福
李艳红
赵楠芳
成静清
HU Jiuwei;WEN Tianfu;LI Yanhong;ZHAO Nanfang;CHENG Jingqing(Jiangxi Academy of Water Science and Engineering,Nanchang,Jiangxi,330029,China)
出处
《江西水利科技》
2023年第3期193-200,共8页
Jiangxi Hydraulic Science & Technology
基金
江西省水利厅科技项目(202124ZDKT20,202123BZKT01,202324TGKT05,202124ZDKT05)
江西省科技厅重大科技研发专项(20213AAG01012-11)
国家自然科学基金(51909112)
中国工程院院地合作项目(2022-03JXZT-03)
江西水利发展研究项目(JXSLFZ2022-01)。
关键词
用水总量红线
以水定产
方案
江西省
Red line of total water consumption
Industrial production determined by water
Scheme
Jiangxi province
