摘要
为研究高速公路差异化收费对货车驾驶员出行选择行为的影响,基于非集计模型的理论框架,将多项式logit(multinomial logit,MNL)模型、巢式logit(nested logit,NL)模型与潜在类别模型相结合,针对高速公路低峰期和高峰期2类情形,建立潜在类别MNL和NL模型,以刻画备选出行方式之间的相关性及货车驾驶员的选择偏好.以中国重庆市为例进行实证分析,结果表明,相较于传统MNL与NL模型,潜在类别MNL模型与出发时间位于上层的潜在类别NL模型的拟合效果更佳.不同类别的货车驾驶员在低峰与高峰期间的出行选择行为与货物类型、付费方式及收费费率等因素显著相关,其中,收费费率的影响最大.通过适当调整高速公路的收费费率及提高服务质量可以增强高速公路的货运竞争力.
To study the impact of expressway differentiated charging on the travel choice behavior of truck drivers,this paper combines the multinomial logit(MNL)model,the nested logit(NL)model and the latent class model based on the theoretical framework of the disaggregation model.For the low and peak periods of the expressway,the latent class MNL model and NL model are established to depict the correlation among alternative travel modes and the choice preference of truck drivers.The results of the empirical analysis in Chongqing,China,show that the latent class MNL model,and the latent class NL model with the departure time in the upper layer have better fitting effect than the traditional MNL and NL models.The travel choice behavior of truck drivers of different categories during the low and peak periods is significantly related to the cargo type,payment method and toll rate,among which the toll rate with the greatest impact.By properly adjusting the toll rates and improving the service quality,the freight competitiveness of the expressway can be enhanced.
作者
孔德学
敖谷昌
张惠玲
徐威威
KONG Dexue;AO Guchang;ZHANG Huiling;XU Weiwei(Intelligent Transportation Systems Research Center,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430063,Hubei Province,P.R.China;College of Transportation and Logistics Engineering,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430063,Hubei Province,P.R.China;College of Traffic&Transportation,Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 400074,P.R.China)
出处
《深圳大学学报（理工版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第2期210-217,共8页
Journal of Shenzhen University(Science and Engineering)
基金
重庆市自然科学基金资助项目(cstc2019jcyj-msxmX0786,cstc2020jcyj-msxmX0083)
重庆市研究生导师团队建设资助项目(JDDSTD2018007)。
