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预期收入与中国的“收入—幸福之谜” 被引量:5

Expected Income and China’s “Happiness-Income Paradox”
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摘要 基于中国最大的民生态度调查——“中国经济生活大调查”,通过实证分析发现,绝对收入、相对收入以及收入不平等等相关变量是解释“收入—幸福之谜”的重要因素。但相比之下,幸福感作为一个主观变量,更关键的是其会受到个体对环境变化预期的影响,即预期收入(而非总体收入或绝对收入)是影响和决定中国居民幸福感的首要因素,预期收入越高,其减少“很不幸福”“不幸福”和“一般”概率的可能性就越大。无论对居民总体、还是不同异质性群体而言,该结论均较为稳健。机制分析发现,增强文化自信和道路自信、提升国民的预期收入,能有效克服“收入—幸福之谜”效应。为此,应提倡政府不断强化预期管理,弘扬和践行“中国梦”精神,增强国民自信和理想信念,提高社会预期和经济预期。 Based on China’s largest survey of people’s livelihood attitudes-“China’s Economic Life Survey”, the empirical results show that absolute income, relative income, income inequality and other related variables are important factors to explain the “income-happiness mystery”. However, as a subjective variable, the more important thing is that happiness will be influenced by the individual’s expectation of environmental change, that is, the expected income(rather than the total income or absolute income) is the primary factor that affects and determines the happiness of Chinese residents. The higher the expected income, the greater the possibility that it will reduce the probability of “very unhappy”, “unhappy” and “average”. This conclusion is stable for the residents as a whole and different heterogeneous groups. The mechanism analysis shows that enhancing cultural confidence and road confidence and raising the expected income of the people can effectively overcome the “happiness-income paradox” effect. Therefore, the government should be encouraged to continuously strengthen the management of expectations, carry forward and practice the spirit of “Chinese Dream”, enhance national self-confidence and ideals and beliefs, and improve social and economic expectations.
作者 夏杰长 陈峰 XIA Jie-chang;CHEN Feng
出处 《北京社会科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2022年第10期92-106,共15页 Social Sciences of Beijing
基金 国家社会科学基金项目(20BJY056)——自动化浪潮下零工经济的薪酬特性及其就业效应研究。
关键词 预期收入 幸福感 收入—幸福之谜 expected income subjective well-being the happiness-income paradox
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