摘要
在“双碳”目标背景下,达到减排目标的同时保证经济平稳增长是中国当下谋求的经济发展模式。因此,探究环境规制对中国经济增长,尤其是对技术进步的影响机理将有助于剖析环境政策对经济可持续发展的作用机制。该研究利用SBM模型测算中国2003—2018年制造业分行业绿色全要素生产率,并对技术进步分解,考察偏向性技术进步的要素偏好特征,最后采用面板回归模型实证检验环境规制对绿色全要素生产率和技术进步及其分解项的影响机理。研究结果表明:①中国制造业绿色全要素生产率总体呈逐年上升态势,技术进步是其增长的主要来源。环境规制与绿色全要素生产率和技术进步呈现倒“U”型关系,并且目前规制强度处于拐点左侧,环境规制强度的提升有助于促进我国制造业绿色全要素生产率和技术进步的增长。②从技术进步的内部影响机理来看,偏向性技术进步要素偏好结果显示,投入偏向性技术进步要素偏好特征随着经济发展的阶段性变化而变化,产出偏向性技术进步更多偏向于CO_(2)产出,但呈逐年向好趋势。环境规制对投入偏向性技术进步、产出偏向性技术进步和规模技术进步的影响均较为显著,环境规制强度的提高有助于提升投入偏向性技术进步,降低产出偏向性技术进步从而节约生产要素的投入,降低CO_(2)产出。③对外开放程度、资本密集度、政府补贴等因素均对绿色全要素生产率和技术进步有正向影响,加强这些因素有助于提高制造业经济发展,但研究发现当前技术进步对碳排放的影响存在一定“碳锁定”效应,环境规制未能有效降低煤炭使用依赖。该研究测算了中国制造业经济发展现状和环境规制作用效果,为推动经济绿色化高质量发展提供了理论支撑。
In the context of achieving the‘dual carbon’goals of peaking carbon emissions and carbon neutrality,meeting emission reduction targets while ensuring stable economic growth is the economic development model China is seeking now.Therefore,exploring the mechanism of environmental regulation in China’s economic growth,especially on technological progress,will help to analyze the mechanism of environmental policy on sustainable economic development.In this article,we used the SBM model to measure the green total factor productivity in the subdivided industries of the manufacturing industry in China from 2003 to 2018,and decomposed technological progress to examine the factor preference characteristics of biased technological progress,and finally used a panel regression model to empirically test the mechanism of environmental regulations on green total factor productivity and technological progress and their decomposition terms.The results showed that:①Green total factor productivity in China’s manufacturing industry was generally increasing year by year,and technological progress was the main source of its growth.Environmental regulation showed an inverted Ushaped relationship with green total factor productivity and technological progress,and the intensity of regulation was currently on the left side of the inflection point,and the increase in environmental regulation intensity helped to promote the growth of green total factor productivity and technological progress in China’s manufacturing industry.②From the internal influence mechanism of technological progress,the results of biased technological progress factor preferences showed that the characteristics of input-biased technological progress factor preferences changed with the stage of economic development,and output-biased technological progress was more biased toward CO_(2) output,but it showed an improving trend year by year.The effects of environmental regulations on input-biased technological progress,output-biased technological progress,and
作者
刘伟江
杜明泽
白玥
LIU Weijiang;DU Mingze;BAI Yue(Center for Quantitative Economic Research,Jilin University,Changchun Jilin 130012,China;School of Business,Jilin University,Changchun Jilin 130012,China)
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第3期95-107,共13页
China Population,Resources and Environment
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目“新常态下促进经济稳定增长的要素配置与产业升级政策研究”(批准号:16JJD790015)
吉林大学东北振兴发展专项研究课题“吉林省小微企业寿命监测及其动态影响机制研究”(批准号:21dbzx05)。
关键词
环境规制
绿色全要素生产率
技术进步偏向
倒“U”型关系
environmental regulation
green total factor productivity
technological progress bias
inverted U⁃shaped relationship
