摘要
联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)为世界各国实现经济社会与生态环境协调发展提供了行动纲领。精准评估“一带一路”沿线国家经济社会SDGs的实现进程对区域环境足迹的影响,可为加快推动绿色“一带一路”建设、促进区域可持续发展提供政策参考。2000—2015年,“一带一路”沿线国家水、土地、碳、氮、磷足迹的总量和人均量均呈先增长后下降的变化趋势,在全球供应链中是虚拟水和土地与隐含碳、氮和磷的出口者。对环境足迹产生协同效应的SDGs可以作为经济社会发展的优先目标;而对环境足迹产生权衡效应的SDGs,则要防范其实现进程中可能产生的环境风险。此外,对于空间溢出效应表现为显著权衡的SDGs指标,应尽可能规避他国经济社会发展对本国生态环境的不利影响;反之,则可作为未来区域合作治理的重点方向。
With 17 goals and 169 targets,the Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs) proposed by the United Nations in late 2015 have provided elaborate and operational guidance for international collaborations in improving human well-being while safeguarding long-term global sustainability.However,the complexities and interactions between environmental and socio-economic goals remain largely unexplored.This paper aims at making contribution to filling in this knowledge gap by examining the impacts of socio-economic SDGs on environmental footprints in the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI),in which many partner countries are experiencing rapid urbanization and facing severe resource constrains and environmental challenges,such as water shortages,land degradation,climate change,and eutrophication.This paper makes an effort to account for the water,land,carbon,nitrogen and phosphorus footprints of 65 countries partnering the BRI between 2000 and 2015 by developing a global multi-regional input-output(M RIO) model.The spatial distribution of national environmental footprints throughout the BRI is investigated by means of spatial autocorrelation analysis.Moreover,a set of socio-economic indicators selected from the SDG dashboards are employed to measure the level of social and economic development in each BRI country on the basis of principal component analysis.Spatial econometric models including spatial lag model(SLM),spatial error model(SEM) and spatial Dubin model(SDM) are used to uncover the synergies or trade-offs between the socio-economic SDGs with environmental footprints in a comparative sense.We find that:both total and per capita environmental footprints in the BRI region experience a growth at first and a decline afterwards in 2000 – 2015,showing an increasingly significant spatial autocorrelation across the BRI countries.China,India and Russia all have considerably high total environmental footprints of all the five categories,whereas their per capita values remain at a relatively low level.Overall,the BRI countries serv
作者
方恺
许安琪
何坚坚
王思亓
张旭亮
Fang Kai;Xu Anqi;He Jianjian;Wang Siqi;Zhang Xuliang(School of Public Affairs,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China;Center for Social Welfare and Governance,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China;Research Center for Regional Coordinated Development,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China)
出处
《浙江大学学报（人文社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第3期100-119,共20页
Journal of Zhejiang University:Humanities and Social Sciences
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目(72074193)
国家社会科学基金重大项目“推动共建‘一带一路’高质量发展机制研究”
国家社科基金一般项目(17BJL077)
浙江省重点研发计划项目(2022C03154)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目。
关键词
“一带一路”
可持续发展目标
环境足迹
多区域投入产出
空间计量
the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)
Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs)
environmental footprint
multi-regional input-output(MRIO)
spatial econometrics
