摘要
对科恩补强理论的概率分析结果表明:补强并不像印证论者强调的仅具有增强效果的单向性。对比补强理论和印证理论的作用条件,印证理论在强调增强结论与增强证据真实性、证明力方面存在互为前提的问题。如果印证理论无法给出比补强理论更为一般的条件,就意味着印证并不构成司法证明的专门问题。这要求印证理论从对于何为印证、印证效果的描述,转向印证何以发生、如何考察评价的规范。但概率分析结果和融贯证成理论表明,无论是走向原子主义还是整体主义,印证理论对于印证一般性条件的探索都注定失败。
The probability analysis results of Cohen’s Corroboration Theory show that the corroboration not only has the unidirectionality of enhancement effect as the Confirmation-theorists(Yinzheng) emphasized. Comparing the operating conditions of Corroboration Theory and Confirmation Theory, there are mutual preconditions in emphasizing the enhancement conclusion, enhancing the authenticity and probative force of evidence in the latter. If the Confirmation-theorists cannot provide more general operating conditions than Corroboration Theory, it means that Confirmation is not enough to be a special issue of judicial proof theory. All of these requires the Confirmation-theorists to change from the description of the concept and the effect of Confirmation to the prescription of how it occurs as well as how to investigate and evaluate it. However, the results of probability analysis and the theory of Coherence Justification indicate that the exploration of general operating conditions of Confirmation is doomed to failure, whether it adopts atomism or holism.
作者
吕宏庆
Lv Hongqing(Law School of Renmin University of China,Beijing,100872)
出处
《证据科学》
2022年第1期5-22,共18页
Evidence Science
基金
河北省科技厅(20310106D)阶段性研究成果。
关键词
补强
印证
概率分析
描述性
规范性
Corroboration
Confirmation
Probability analysis
Descriptiveness
Prescriptiveness
