摘要
有效提升社会保障财政支出效率是经济新常态背景下"健全可持续的多层次社会保障体系"的题中之义。本文以地方政府社会保障财政支出效率为研究对象,采用两阶段DEA模型对2010-2019年我国省域社会保障财政支出效率进行了客观测度,并通过空间面板Tobit模型对其影响因素进行了有效甄别。研究结果表明:2010-2019年全国范围内社会保障财政支出综合效率整体偏低且存在区域分化特征,该现象一定程度上是由于规模效率偏低且存在区域差异而引发;莫兰指数验证了我国社会保障财政支出效率具有显著的空间聚集特征,在对其影响因素进行甄别时应考虑其空间属性;从全国范围来看,经济发展水平、人口抚养比、人口受教育程度、政府规模及地方政府财政自主权均对社会保障财政支出综合效率具有显著影响,但由于地域差异的客观存在,影响因素在区域内的作用方向与力度仍表现出明显的异质性。
Effectively improving the efficiency of social security expenditure is the meaning of"building a sustainable multi-level social security system"under the background of the new normal economy.Taking the efficiency of social security expenditure of local government as the research object,this paper uses Two-stage DEA model to objectively measure the efficiency of provincial social security expenditure in China from 2010 to 2019,and effectively identifies its influencing factors through spatial panel Tobit model.The results show that:from 2010 to 2019,the overall efficiency of social security fiscal expenditure is low and there is regional differentiation,which is caused by the low scale efficiency and regional differences to some extent;Moran index verifies that the efficiency of social security fiscal expenditure in China has a significant spatial aggregation feature,and its spatial attribute should be considered when screening its influencing factors;From a national perspective,the level of economic development,dependency ratio,education level,government size and local government financial autonomy all have a significant impact on the comprehensive efficiency of social security fiscal expenditure.However,due to the objective existence of regional differences,the direction and strength of the influencing factors in the region still show obvious heterogeneity.
作者
刘海英
董宇婧
Liu Haiying;Dong Yujing
出处
《公共财政研究》
2021年第4期30-47,84,共19页
Public Finance Research Journal
基金
2018年教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目“贫困治理能力评估与公共政策创新研究”(91188416019)阶段性研究成果。
