摘要
本文集成时空分析模型和事件分析法,探究城市群中心城市的重要房地产政策在区域范围的时空溢出效应。选取全国11个主要城市群的156个城市为样本,分别选取11个中心城市作为政策受力点进行政策的区域扩散实验。研究结果发现:在时间和空间维度上,有10个中心城市存在不同程度的房地产政策溢出效应。哈长-辽中南城市群、海峡西岸城市群、珠江三角洲城市群、长江中游城市群和长江三角洲城市群的中心城市政策溢出效应非常明显,其中以限购、限贷类政策影响最为广泛,但是影响方式有较大差异。京津冀城市群、山东半岛城市群、关中平原城市群、成渝城市群的中心城市政策溢出效应相对较弱,但市场监管、税收类型政策的溢出效果相对较强,同时受到北京市的行政类型调控政策的溢出影响非常明显。
The spatio-temporal analysis model and event analysis model are integrated and used to simulate the local spatio-temporal spillover effect of important real estate policies proposed by the core cities in each urban agglomeration.A sample of 156 Chinese cities in 11 major urban agglomerations is selected in this study,and 10 core cities are selected as the regional diffusion experiments for urban real estate policy impact.The results indicate that:The core cities of 11 agglomerations all have different degrees of real estate policy spillover effects.The urban agglomerations of Harbin-Changchun-Central&Southern Liaoning,the West Coast,the Pearl River Delta,the Middle Reach of Yangtze River and the Yangtze River Delta have obvious regional diffusion effects from the core city's real estate policies,of which purchase quota and loan quota policies have the widest influence.However,the urban agglomerations of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,the Shandong Peninsula,the Guanzhong Plain,the Chengdu-Chongqing agglomerations show a relatively weak spillover effect from the policies,of which the market regulation and tax policies a relatively strong spillover effect,meanwhile they are strongly affected by the administrative regulation policies released by Beijing city.
作者
李祥飞
冯新新
张璐
沈书立
Li Xiangfei;Feng Xinxin;Zhang Lu;Shen Shuli(School of Economics and Management,Tiangong University,Tianjin 300387;School of Economics and Management,Inner Mongolia University of Technology,Hohhot 010051;School of Public Administration,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou 310018)
出处
《管理评论》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第9期65-76,共12页
Management Review
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目(71503178)。
关键词
中心城市
房地产政策
城市群
溢出效应
时空模型
core city
real estate policy
urban agglomeration
spillover effect
spatio-temporal model
