摘要
本文基于2018—2020年“中国城市生活质量调查”数据,以新冠肺炎疫情为一次准自然实验,利用双重差分法,检验新冠肺炎疫情对消费者信心的影响。研究发现:新冠肺炎疫情在一定程度上降低了消费者信心,但收入较高人群的消费者信心非但没有降低,反而升高了。另外,从政府信息公开角度进行机制检验发现,政府关于新冠肺炎疫情方面的信息公开会在一定程度上缓解疫情对消费者信心的负面影响。因此,应当理性地看待新冠肺炎疫情对消费者信心的影响,针对特定群体制定相应的政策措施;同时,充分利用各种信息公开渠道,缓解疫情对消费者信心的负面影响,提振消费者信心,激发市场活力。
Based on the data from the“Survey on Quality of life in Chinese cities”database during 2018-2020,this paper uses the COVID-19 pandemic as a quasi-natural experiment to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on consumer confidence by using the differences-in differences(DID)method.It was found that the COVID-19 outbreak reduced consumer confidence to some extent,but consumer confidence among people with higher incomes increased rather than decreased.In addition,the mechanism test from the perspective of the disclosure of government information showed that the negative impact of the pandemic on consumer confidence will be mitigated to some extent by government's information disclosure on the pandemic.Therefore,the impact of the COVID-19 on consumer confidence should be viewed more rationally,formulating corresponding policy measures for specific groups,making full use of various government information disclosure channels to mitigate the negative impact of the pandemic on consumer confidence,boost consumer confidence and stimulate market vitality.
作者
贺小丹
陈博
杜雯翠
HE Xiaodan;CHEN Bo;DU Wencui(Capital University of Economics and Business,Beijing 100070)
出处
《经济与管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第1期40-50,共11页
Research on Economics and Management
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“混改背景下企业环境行为的异化选择与微观机理研究”(20YJA790009)
北京市属高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目。
关键词
新冠肺炎疫情
消费者信心
经济发展
政府信息公开
双重差分法
COVID-19 pandemic
consumer confidence
economic development
government information disclosure
differences-in-differences(DID)method
