摘要
通过分析碳价随机波动和碳税税率变化带来的不确定风险,构建碳交易与碳税双重风险下供应链低碳技术采纳时机决策模型,运用实物期权理论评估供应链企业采纳低碳技术的期望收益,讨论制造商和零售商组成的供应链在协同决策与Stackelberg博弈情形下的低碳技术采纳时机。研究表明:碳价波动率、碳税税率、碳减排率、收益转移支付比例以及成本分摊比例都会影响供应链提早或推迟采纳低碳技术,并且协同决策比Stackelberg博弈更为有利于供应链整体提前采纳低碳技术。
By analyzing the uncertain risks caused by the random fluctuations of carbon prices and the changes of carbon tax rates,this paper constructes a decision-making model for the low-carbon technology adoption timing in supply chain under the dual risk of carbon trading and carbon tax,and the real option theory is used to evaluate the expected benefits of enterprises in the supply chain adopting the low-carbon technology,and the timing of the low-carbon technology adoption in the supply chain composed of one manufacturer and one retailer in the context of collaborative decision-making and Stackelberg game is discussed.The research shows that:carbon price volatility,carbon tax rate,carbon emission reduction rate,revenue transfer payment ratio and cost sharing ratio will affect the supply chain to accelerate or postpone the low-carbon technology adoption,and collaborative decision-making is more conducive than Stackelberg game for the overall supply chain to accelerate the low-carbon technology adoption.
作者
丁志刚
陈涵
徐琪
DING Zhi-gang;CHEN Han;XU Qi(School of Business,Shaoxing University.Shaoxing 312000;Glorious Sun School of Business and Management,Donghua University,Shanghai 200051)
出处
《软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第7期101-107,共7页
Soft Science
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71572033)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(16YJC630019)
浙江省哲学社会科学规划项目(17NDJC136YB)。
关键词
碳交易
碳税
低碳技术
采纳时机
实物期权
carbon trading
carbon tax
low carbon technology
adoption timing
real option
