摘要
本文采用2002年至2017年的省份面板数据,将产业结构效应分解为三个部分,并从空间计量的视角考察了中国大陆31个省市产业结构变化对农村消费者服务性消费比例的影响。研究结果发现,产业结构升级对我国农村居民服务性消费总体上造成的是负向影响;开放程度、城镇化率、政府行为的自主性均对本地区农村居民服务性消费产生显著的促进作用,其中城镇化比率还具有正向的空间溢出效应,而政府行为的自主性则对周边地区有负向的空间溢出效应。鉴于中国地区和城乡经济发展的差异性,本文认为现阶段产业结构升级更多地促进农村消费者增加生活性消费,为此提出继续提高城镇化、深化对外开放、发展生产性服务业的对策建议。
This paper uses the provincial panel data from 2002 to 2017 to decompose the impact of industrial structure changes on rural service consumption into three components,and to examine the impact from 31 Chinese provinces by spatial measurement.It is found that the industrial structure upgrading has a negative impact on the overall service consumption of rural residents in China;and the degree of openness,urbanization,and autonomy of government behavior have significantly promoted the service consumption of rural residents.Moreover,the urbanization also has a positive spatial spillover effect,while the autonomy of government behavior has a negative spatial spillover effect on the surrounding area.Considering the differences in economic development between urban and rural areas in China,this paper finds that the upgrading of industrial structure at this stage will promote the living consumption of rural consumers.Therefore,it is proposed to continue improving urbanization,deepening market openness,and developing productive service industries for promoting rural service consumption.
作者
李雯轩
李晓华
LI Wen-xuan;LI Xiao-hua(Institute of Industrial Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100836,China)
出处
《消费经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第6期33-41,共9页
Consumer Economics
基金
中国博士后科学基金面上资助项目(2018M631660)
中国社会科学院创新工程资助研究项目
关键词
农村居民消费
服务性消费
产业结构变化
Rural Residents’Consumption
Service Consumption
Industrial Structure Changes
