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基于AHP-模糊综合评价的多式联运风险管理研究 被引量:1

Research on Multimodal Transportation Risk Management Based on AHP-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation
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摘要 "十三五"以来,我国的物流水平迅速提高,逐渐向供应链物流方向发展,但是由于供应链物流过程中伴随着诸多不确定性,供应链风险也不断增加,如何提高供应链物流协同联动,有效降低供应链物流的风险成为亟待解决的问题。针对多式联运的特点,建立AHP-模糊综合评估组合模型,先运用层次分析法(AHP)对多式联运项目中的风险进行指标层次分析,再根据分析结果进行模糊综合评价,最后进行风险分析及风险转移管理,通过对某多式联运项目实证分析表明,该模型可以有效进行供应链物流风险管控,促进多式联运产业良好发展。 Since the"13 th Five-Year Plan",China’s logistics level has developed rapidly and is gradually developing towards supply chain logistics. However,due to the uncertainties in the supply chain logistics process,the supply chain risks are also increasing. How to improve the supply chain logistics synergy linkage? Effectively reducing the risk of supply chain logistics has become an urgent problem to be solved. In this paper,based on the characteristics of multimodal transport,the AHP-fuzzy comprehensive evaluation combined model is established. The analytic hierarchy process( AHP) is used to analyze the risk of the multimodal transport project,and then the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation based on the analysis. Analysis and risk transfer management,through empirical analysis of a multimodal transport project,shows that the model can effectively carry out supply chain logistics risk management and control,and promote the good development of multimodal transport industry.
作者 邵博 叶翀 Shao Bo;Ye Chong(School of Economics and Management,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou Fujian 350116)
机构地区 福州大学
出处 《对外经贸》 2019年第11期101-105,共5页 FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE
基金 福建省软科学基金项目“跨界融合创新催生新业态的预测研究”(项目编号:2018R0048) 国家级大学生创新创业训练计划立项项目(项目编号:201910386020) 省级大学生创新创业训练计划立项项目(项目编号:S201910386069)
关键词 多式联运 风险管理 AHP 模糊综合评价 Multimodal Transport Risk Management AHP Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation
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