摘要
2018年下半年,越南完成了一次历史性的权力结构变化,国家政权结构由以往外界所熟知的“四驾马车”形式陡然变成“三驾马车”格局,党的总书记阮富仲同时担任国家主席一职。这一格局打破了越南多年来传统的权力平衡体系,由分权逐步走向威权,越南国家政治生态发生显著变化,而其内外政策也随之出现了微妙的变化迹象。其中,最值得关注的是越南的海洋政策走向。本文旨在分析越南权力结构的历史性变化对其海洋政策可能带来的重大影响及其海洋政策的变化趋势,探讨中越海上联合开发的可行性与现实意义。面对这一新机遇,在印太地缘政治越来越复杂的背景下,中国应基于构建海洋命运共同体的战略高度,积极推动与越南的海上合作和开发,将“一带一路”倡议与越南的“两廊一圈”实施对接,打造“具有战略意义的中越命运共同体”,造福于两国人民。
In the second half of 2018,Vietnam completed a historic change in a power structure: the "four-pillar"form of the state power structure that was known to the outside world suddenly became a "troika"pattern,and the party’s general secretary,Nguyen Phu Tr ong who is responsible for two positions-also serves as the state president.This pattern has broken Vietnam’s traditional power balance system for many years,from decentralization to authoritarianism or soft authoritarianism,its national political ecology has undergone major changes,and Vietnam’s internal and external policies have also shown subtle signs of change. Among them, the most noteworthy is the trend of Vietnam’s ocean policy,because it is not only related to Vietnam’s prospects of political and economic development and regional stability,but also closely related to the future direction of China-Vietnam relations. Faced with this new opportunity,in the context of the increasingly complex geopolitics of Indo-Pacific,it should actively promote maritime cooperation and development with Vietnam based on the strategic height of building a community of human destiny,and implement the docking of China’s "Belt and Road"and Vietnam’s"Two Corridors,One Economic Belt",benefiting the people of two countries and building a community of shared future of China-Vietnam.
出处
《东南亚研究》
CSSCI
2019年第5期58-71,155,共15页
Southeast Asian Studies
关键词
越南
权力结构
海洋政策
南海问题
海上联合开发
中越关系
Vietnam
Power Structure
Ocean Policy
South China Sea Issue
Maritime Cooperation and Development
China-Vietnam Relations
