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我国中等收入群体消费的影响因素实证研究——基于CHFS2015数据 被引量:2

An Empirical Study on the Influencing Factors of the Consumption of Middle-income Groups in China: Based on CHFS2015 Data
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摘要 我国经济已由高速增长阶段转向高质量发展阶段,扩大消费需求的作用日益凸显,而释放中等收入群体的消费潜力又是促进消费的重要抓手。本文基于CHFS2015调查数据,实证分析了影响我国中等收入群体消费的主要因素。结果显示:从总体消费支出来看,收入、受教育程度、地区与社会保障对其产生显著正向影响;从分项消费支出来看,收入对各项消费支出都产生显著正向影响,受教育程度对居住、交通通信、教育文化娱乐、生活用品及服务消费产生显著正向影响,地区对居住、教育文化娱乐消费产生显著正向影响,社会保障对食品、衣着、医疗保健和生活用品及服务消费产生显著正向影响,年龄和负债对医疗保健消费均产生显著正向影响,行业对衣着和教育文化娱乐消费产生较弱的正向影响,负债对教育文化娱乐消费产生显著负向影响,年龄对衣着、居住、交通通信、生活用品及服务消费产生显著负向影响。因此,本文提出要通过提高收入水平、积累文化资本、推进区域协调、健全社保机制、鼓励创新发展、合理控制房价等来提升中等收入群体的消费水平,从而稳步推进我国经济转型。 China’ s economy has shifted from a high-speed growth stage to a high-quality development stage. Expanding consumer demand has become increasingly prominent, and releasing middle-income groups’ potential consumption is an important means. This paper based on CHFS2015 survey data empirically analyzes the main factors affecting their consumption in China. The results show that income, education level, area and social security have a positive and gradual-decrease impacts on the total consumption expenditure. Income has a significant positive impact on all separating consumption expenditure;education level has a significant positive impact on housing, traffic communication, entertainment and living consumption;area has a significant positive on housing, entertainment consumption;social security has a significant positive impact on food, clothing, medical and living consumption;age and debt have significant positive impacts on medical consumption;the industry has a weakly positive impact on clothing, entertainment consumption. The debt has a significant negative impact on entertainment communications, and age has a significant negative effect on the clothing, housing, traffic communication and living consumption. Therefore, this paper proposes to promote the economic transformation of China’ s economy based on the enhancement of middle-income groups’ consumption by raising the income level, accumulating cultural capital, promoting regional coordination, improving social security mechanisms, encouraging innovation and development, and rationally controlling housing prices.
作者 何昀 过天姿 HE Yun;GUO Tian-zi(School of Business, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, Hunan 410081)
出处 《商学研究》 2019年第4期119-128,共10页 Commercial Science Research
关键词 居民消费 中等收入群体 影响因素 政策 Household consumption Middle-income groups Influencing factors Policies
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