摘要
本文基于贝叶斯VAR模型与多因子回归模型,从过程与结果两个视角,深入研究了经济增长、城乡消费与网络游戏参与之间的动态联动关系。研究发现:(1)经济增长能有效激励城乡消费,影响效果在波动后平稳;同时对网络游戏参与产生抑制作用,影响效果持续衰减。(2)城乡消费增加能有效促进经济增长,影响效果先增加后衰减;同时也会抑制居民对网络游戏的参与,影响效果持续衰减。(3)更多的网络游戏参与会同时抑制经济增长与城乡消费,影响效果先增加后衰减。(4)城镇消费、乡村消费与网络游戏参与之间均存在着负向影响关系,且相较于乡村消费与网络游戏参与之间的影响,城镇消费与网络游戏参与之间的双向影响程度更显著、更持久。
Based on Bayesian VAR model and multivariate regression model,from the perspective of process and result,we studies the dynamic linkage relationship between economy growth,urban and rural consumption and online game participation.The results show that:(1)Economic growth can effectively stimulate urban and rural consumption,while the influence effect is stable after fluctuation,and economic growth can effectively inhibit the participation of online games,while the effect continues to decay.(2)The increase of urban and rural consumption can effectively promote economic growth,while the influence effect increases first and then weakens;but also the increase of urban and rural consumption could inhibit residents’participation in online games,while the effect continues to decay.(3)More online game participation will inhibit economic growth and urban and rural consumption at the same time,while the influence effect increases first and then weakens.(4)There is a reverse relationship between urban/rural consumption and online game participation,and the two-way effect between urban consumption and online game participation is more significant and persistent than that between rural consumption and online game participation.
出处
《投资研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第3期97-113,共17页
Review of Investment Studies
基金
江苏高校哲学社会科学研究项目(2021SJA0113)
南京邮电大学校级自然科学基金(NY221108)
南京邮电大学引进人才科研启动资助基金(NYY221026)
关键词
经济增长
城乡消费
网络游戏参与
Economy growth
Urban and rural consumption
Online game participation
